Monaco vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – EuroLeague 31/01/2025

EuroLeague
Monaco vs Real Madrid
Fri, 31 January 2025 – 18:00
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1.85
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12.0
Draw
2.16
Away

Monaco and Real Madrid would square off in Round 24 of the EuroLeague at Salle Gaston Medecin, Monaco on January 31, 2025. The game has scheduled start at 18:00 GMT (19:00 CET). Two clubs aiming to confirm their place in the EuroLeague standings will square off this high-stakes basketball contest, Monaco seeking atonement following a devastating loss in their most recent game versus Madrid.

Given their different form in recent games, both teams have a great fight for playoff placement. The offensive potency of Monaco will be challenged by Real Madrid’s defensive fortitude. Both teams have to rely on tactical changes to get an advantage since injuries are compromising important players. Given both teams want to improve their position in Europe’s most elite club league, this basketball clash guarantees great intensity.

Monaco vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

This matchup is set to be one of the most exciting Monaco vs Real Madrid prediction today, given the offensive capabilities of Monaco and the defensive strength of Real Madrid. For bookmakers, this game is erratic but exciting since both clubs have shown varying performance recently.

Monaco has demonstrated fragility in defense, giving up 88+ points in four of their last five EuroLeague games despite their offensive firepower. Conversely, Real Madrid has been erratic even with their strong overall performance; their previous three EuroLeague games yield 113, 96, and 89 points.

Particularly on high-scoring markets, this collision offers a strong betting prospect. A high-tempo game emphasizing transition plays and three-point shooting is anticipated considering the tendencies of both teams. Given the previous defensive failures from both teams, bet on total points above 167.5 to seem like a wise choice.

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Monaco’s Recent Matches

Monaco has shown mixed form in their last five games, struggling in the EuroLeague while maintaining dominance in their domestic competition. Below is a summary of their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
26.01.25LNBLe Mans vs Monaco74-81W
23.01.25EuroLeagueVirtus Bologna vs Monaco80-86W
19.01.25LNBMonaco vs Nancy117-96W
17.01.25EuroLeagueCrvena Zvezda vs Monaco88-82 (76-76)D/L
15.01.25EuroLeagueBayern vs Monaco95-94L

Monaco’s recent results indicate strong offensive performances, but their EuroLeague struggles are evident. They barely managed to edge out Virtus Bologna after trailing by 21 points, which highlights resilience but also defensive fragility. Their domestic dominance does not fully translate to EuroLeague success, where their defense remains a major concern.

Real Madrid’s Recent Matches

Real Madrid has been performing well but has shown signs of inconsistency, particularly on defense. Below is a summary of their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
26.01.25ACBReal Madrid vs Leyma Coruna90-74W
23.01.25EuroLeagueReal Madrid vs Baskonia90-89W
19.01.25ACBMoraBanc Andorra vs Real Madrid84-100W
16.01.25EuroLeagueReal Madrid vs Olympiacos86-96L
14.01.25EuroLeagueReal Madrid vs Maccabi Tel Aviv116-113W

Real Madrid’s attack has been effective, but given Maccabi’s 113 point concession and Olympiacos’s 96 point loss, their defense calls for questions. Although their last-minute triumph against Baskonia highlighted their under pressure performance, the small victory also begged concerns regarding their defensive discipline.

Who will win Friday’s EuroLeague clash between Monaco and Real Madrid?
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Monaco
50%
Draw
5%
Real Madrid
45%
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Monaco vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head Matches

Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with Real Madrid winning convincingly in their last meeting. Below are their last five head-to-head games:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
19.12.24EuroLeagueReal Madrid vs Monaco94-72
11.09.24FriendlyReal Madrid vs Monaco77-75
19.01.24EuroLeagueMonaco vs Real Madrid98-74
16.11.23EuroLeagueReal Madrid vs Monaco91-73
03.02.23EuroLeagueMonaco vs Real Madrid91-95

Real Madrid has dominated their recent matchups, particularly at home. However, Monaco has managed a comfortable home win in the past, which suggests they can be dangerous in Salle Gaston Medecin.

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Predicted Starting Lineups – Monaco vs Real Madrid

The anticipated starting lines for the Monaco at Real Madrid game offer hints on how both sides will handle this pivotal EuroLeague encounter. Key players like Mike James and Facundo Campazzo heading their respective clubs will make the backcourt domination struggle fierce. Walter Tavares’s presence in the paint might, meantime, be quite important for Madrid’s defensive plan. The starting five for every squad are projected here.

MonacoPositionReal MadridPosition
Mike JamesGuardFacundo CampazzoGuard
Nick CalathesGuardXavier Rathan-MayesGuard
Matthew StrazelForwardDzanan MusaForward
Jaron BlossomgameForwardEli NdiayeForward
Donatas MotiejunasCenterWalter TavaresCenter

Both sides combine defensive strength with offensive firepower in a pleasing ratio. While Real Madrid’s backcourt, headed by Campazzo, will try to throw Monaco’s flow off, Monaco mostly depends on Mike James’ scoring prowess. Tavares’s presence in the paint might provide Madrid a defensive edge, but Motiejunas and Blossomgame can help Monaco to stretch the floor.

Unavailable Players for Monaco vs Real Madrid

Injuries and absences can significantly impact a game’s outcome. Monaco is missing Jordan Loyd, a crucial offensive weapon, while Real Madrid will be without Gabriel Deck, a key rotation player. Below is a list of unavailable players for this matchup.

PlayerTeamReason
Jordan LoydMonacoInjury
Gabriel DeckReal MadridMuscle Injury

Real Madrid’s depth will be tested without Deck, while Monaco will need other scorers to step up in Loyd’s absence. The impact of these injuries may be particularly noticeable in clutch moments when rotations become shorter.

Key Factors to Watch

Both teams have specific areas to focus on that could determine the match outcome.

  • Monaco’s defensive struggles – Conceded 88+ points in four of their last five EuroLeague matches;
  • Mike James’ performance – Needs 20 points to become the EuroLeague’s all-time leading scorer;
  • Real Madrid’s turnover issues – Ranked 6th worst in EuroLeague for turnovers per game;
  • Injury concerns for Monaco – Missing Jordan Loyd, while Elie Okobo’s status remains uncertain;
  • Real Madrid’s rebounding advantage – Best in two-point efficiency (60.9%), strong in defensive rebounds;
  • Monaco’s home-court advantage – Historically strong at Salle Gaston Medecin;
  • Real Madrid’s defensive inconsistency – Allowed 113, 96, and 89 points in last three EuroLeague games;
  • Recent head-to-head dominance by Real Madrid – Won three of their last four meetings.
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Free Tips on Monaco vs Real Madrid

Examining the next Monaco at Real Madrid match reveals various important elements that will guide bettors in making wise judgments. The game’s result can be much influenced by bench depth, player combinations, and pace of play. Given both teams’ recent performance and strengths, below are some important betting observations specifically for this clash.

Key Betting Tips:

  • Monaco plays at a moderate pace (8th in the EuroLeague) but possesses the third-best offensive rating, averaging 87.5 PPG. Meanwhile, Real Madrid prefers a slightly faster tempo (3rd in pace) but has shown defensive inconsistency. A high-scoring affair is likely, making total points betting a solid strategy.
  • Walter Tavares remains a dominant presence in the paint, and Monaco’s centers may struggle to contain him. However, Monaco’s offensive versatility and strong perimeter game could force Madrid to defend further from the basket, potentially neutralizing Tavares’ impact. Betting on Tavares’ rebounding or blocks could be an interesting market.
  • Monaco is currently missing key scorers like Jordan Loyd and potentially Elie Okobo, meaning their bench will need to step up. Meanwhile, Real Madrid has struggled with contributions from new signings, leaving more pressure on their starters. A strong second-unit performance from Monaco could be a game-changer, making bench-related player props valuable.
  • Real Madrid ranks 6th worst in turnovers per game, often giving opponents extra possessions. Monaco, on the other hand, commits the second-fewest turnovers in the EuroLeague, maximizing their scoring chances. If Madrid continues their sloppy ball-handling, Monaco could exploit those mistakes, making a live bet on Monaco’s points off turnovers a smart play.
  • Monaco had a tough comeback win against Virtus Bologna, exerting significant energy, while Madrid narrowly edged out Baskonia in a last-second thriller. Fatigue could play a role, especially for key players like Mike James, who will have to carry an increased load. Watching the early-game energy levels could help in making in-game betting decisions.

By considering these factors, bettors can make smarter wagers on different markets, from total points and player props to live bets based on in-game adjustments.

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Monaco vs Real Madrid Match Prediction 2025

This game promises to be a high-scoring encounter given both teams’ offensive tendencies and defensive struggles. Monaco vs Real Madrid odds favor a high-paced battle, as Monaco leads the EuroLeague in scoring but struggles defensively, while Real Madrid has the second-best defense but has also shown recent lapses.

Given the current form and injury issues for both sides, the best bet appears to be Over 167.5 points, considering Monaco’s 87.5 PPG average and Real Madrid’s recent defensive woes. While Real Madrid has historically dominated this matchup, Monaco’s desperation for a win could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match WinnerReal Madrid to win2.16
Total PointsOver 167.5 points1.67

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About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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