The Miami Heat host the New York Knicks at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, with tip-off scheduled for 00:30 GMT+0 on November 18, 2025. This Eastern Conference clash marks the third meeting between the teams in just over three weeks, adding extra intensity to an already heated rivalry. No referee crew has been officially announced yet, but the game will be broadcast nationally on NBA League Pass.
As the regular season heats up, both squads are jockeying for playoff positioning in a stacked East. The quick turnaround only three days after their high-scoring battle in New York could favor the home side with rest advantage. Miami Heat vs New York Knicks prediction today hinges on fatigue management and adjustments from the previous explosive encounter.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
Dive into the numbers before placing any wagers on this rematch. The teams combined for 272 points just three days ago, blowing past the total by 30+. Miami Heat vs New York Knicks prediction today must account for pace, defensive adjustments, and key absences. Recent trends show both offenses clicking at elite levels. Sharp money will target value in player props and quarter totals.
Miami Heat Results
Miami enters on a two-game skid after dropping both ends of a back-to-back against Cleveland. Home cooking has been kind this season, with the Heat winning four of their last five at Kaseya Center. Jimmy Butler’s availability remains the X-factor after he exited early in the last Knicks game.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 15.11.25 | NBA | New York Knicks vs Miami Heat | 140-132 | L |
| 13.11.25 | NBA | Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 116-130 | L |
| 11.11.25 | NBA | Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 140-138 | W |
| 09.11.25 | NBA | Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers | 136-131 | W |
| 08.11.25 | NBA | Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets | 126-108 | W |
Three straight home wins before the Cleveland losses highlight Miami’s dominance at Kaseya Center. The 140-point outburst against Cleveland shows their offense can explode against any defense. Defensive rebounding has been an issue, allowing 15+ second-chance points in three straight games. Tyler Herro’s 35-point performance against New York proves he thrives in this matchup. The quick turnaround could benefit Miami with two full rest days compared to New York’s travel schedule.
New York Knicks Results
New York rides a wave of momentum after dismantling Miami 140-132 on their home floor. The Knicks have won four of their last five, with the lone loss coming against Orlando’s elite defense. Jalen Brunson continues to carry the offense at an MVP level.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 15.11.25 | NBA | New York Knicks vs Miami Heat | 140-132 | W |
| 13.11.25 | NBA | New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic | 107-124 | L |
| 12.11.25 | NBA | New York Knicks vs Memphis Grizzlies | 133-120 | W |
| 10.11.25 | NBA | New York Knicks vs Brooklyn Nets | 134-98 | W |
| 06.11.25 | NBA | New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 137-114 | W |
Four victories in five games showcase New York’s offensive firepower. The 140-point explosion against Miami marked their third 130+ performance in five contests. Road defense remains a concern, allowing 120+ in three straight away games. Karl-Anthony Towns has dominated Miami historically, averaging 28.5 points in his last four against them. The short rest could expose depth issues against Miami’s veteran rotation.
Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Head-to-Head
These teams have split their season series so far with contrasting styles. The most recent battle produced 272 total points and 65 three-point attempts. New York holds the edge in recent road games at Kaseya Center.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 15.11.25 | NBA | New York Knicks vs Miami Heat | 140-132 |
| 27.10.25 | NBA | Miami Heat vs New York Knicks | 115-107 |
| 18.03.25 | NBA | New York Knicks vs Miami Heat | 116-95 |
| 03.03.25 | NBA | Miami Heat vs New York Knicks | 112-105 |
| 31.10.24 | NBA | Miami Heat vs New York Knicks | 107-116 |
New York has won three of the last five meetings overall. Four of five games exceeded 220 total points. Miami’s lone home win came in a defensive struggle under 222 points. The Knicks have covered as underdogs in two straight visits to Miami. Recent trends favor the over, hitting in four consecutive matchups.
Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Predicted Starting Lineups
Official starting lineups will be confirmed approximately one hour before tip-off, but based on the latest injury reports, rotations from the November 15 blowout, and coach tendencies as of November 17, here are the expected fives for this quick-rematch at Kaseya Center. Miami benefits from extra rest and the return of several key players, while New York remains shorthanded after the high-scoring battle two days ago.
| Miami Heat | Position | New York Knicks | Position |
| Davion Mitchell | PG | Miles McBride | PG |
| Norman Powell | SG | Mikal Bridges | SG |
| Pelle Larsson | SF | OG Anunoby | SF |
| Andrew Wiggins | PF | Karl-Anthony Towns | PF |
| Kel’el Ware | C | Mitchell Robinson | C |
Key Matchup Factors
The third game in 22 days creates unique betting angles. Fatigue, adjustments, and health will determine the outcome. Both teams rank top-5 in pace over their last ten games.
- Jimmy Butler questionable with ankle soreness after exiting the November 15 game;
- New York playing on zero rest after traveling from Chicago;
- Miami 8-2 ATS in last 10 home games following a loss;
- Knicks allowing 124.3 PPG over last three road games;
- Tyler Herro averaging 28.5 PPG in November (42% from three);
- Karl-Anthony Towns 30+ points in three straight vs Miami;
- Combined 65 three-point attempts in last meeting;
- Miami’s bench outscored New York’s 58-32 on November 15;
- Kaseya Center averages 112.4 points per home game this season;
- Short rest teams shooting 34.1% from three this month.
Free Tips on Miami Heat vs New York Knicks
Unlock extra edges for this quick-turnaround rematch by zooming in on data-driven trends from recent games and historical clashes. The 272-point explosion three days ago wasn’t a fluke both teams rank top-5 in offensive rating over their last five. These targeted tips distill stats from head-to-heads, form streaks, and situational factors unique to November 18 at Kaseya Center.
- Exploit Pace Mismatch in H2H Data: Four of the last five meetings averaged 68.2 three-point attempts; back Over 58.5 total threes attempted when both squads played fewer than 48 hours prior (hit in 7/9 similar spots this season).
- Fade Road Teams on Zero Rest: Knicks are 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in true road games with no rest day since 2023; Miami improves to +4.8 net rating at home off 2+ rest days versus fatigued visitors.
- Target Herro’s Hot Streak vs NY Defense: Tyler Herro has cleared 24.5 points in 5 straight home games (averaging 29.2 PPG); Knicks allow the 4th-most points to opposing SGs over last 10 road contests.
- Bet Miami First Quarter Spread: Heat are 8-2 ATS in Q1 at home following a loss; New York ranks 24th in first-quarter net rating on the road with travel (minus-7.2 average margin).
- Monitor Pitch-Like Court Conditions: Kaseya Center’s humidity-controlled hardwood favors Miami’s perimeter shooters (41.2% home 3PT% vs 36.8% road for visitors); expect elevated shooting efficiency in climate-controlled arena.
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Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Match Prediction 2025
Home court and rest advantage tilt this matchup toward Miami despite their recent struggles. The Heat’s defense showed cracks against Cleveland’s perimeter attack, but New York’s reliance on three-point volume plays into Miami’s switching scheme. Erik Spoelstra’s adjustments after the 140-point embarrassment should focus on transition defense and rebounding areas where New York feasted last game. Butler’s potential return changes everything; even at 70%, his playoff-level intensity disrupts Brunson’s rhythm. The Knicks’ road defense ranks 22nd since November 1, allowing opponents to shoot 39% from three. Miami Heat vs New York Knicks odds opened with the Heat as 4.5-point favorites, but sharp money has moved the line to -6. Our model simulates 10,000 outcomes with Miami winning 58% of simulations when Butler plays 30+ minutes. The pace suggests another high-scoring affair, but Miami’s home dominance (9-3 SU) and New York’s travel fatigue create value on the Heat covering. Take Miami -5.5 first half as New York starts slow on zero rest (3-7 ATS first half this season). Player prop wise, target Herro over 24.5 points he’s cleared this in four straight home games. The total sits at 228 after closing 225 last meeting; our projection hits 231.4 with both teams top-5 in pace. Miami Heat vs New York Knicks prediction 2025: Heat 118, Knicks 110.
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Moneyline | New York Knicks | 1.74 |
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