Saturday, January 4, 2025, at the venerable Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG) in Richmond, Australia, will be the much awaited Melbourne derby between the Melbourne Stars and the Melbourne Renegades. Set to start at 8:15 GMT+0 under the glow of stadium lights, the match — part of the Big Bash League 2024-25 — offers an exciting environment for both players and supporters. Although particular information on the officiating umpires is yet unknown, the stakes are high since both teams want momentum in the competition.
Match 23 of the league marks a significant collision since the two teams now inhabit the lowest half of the points standings. Notwithstanding its position, the Melbourne Derby never fails to provide thrills; every match between these teams defines by passionate audiences and fierce competitiveness.
Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades Betting Tips
For this crucial derby, understanding the current form and historical performance of both teams is essential. The Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades prediction today is based on key factors like recent matches, head-to-head statistics, and player performances.
Though both clubs have had a difficult beginning to the season, the Stars go to this game confident following a great performance. By contrast, the Renegades want to bounce back from consecutive losses. This game looks to be a tightly fought encounter with players like Dan Lawrence and Marcus Stoinis in form for the Stars and Josh Brown and Adam Zampa driving the charge for the Renegades. The toss will also be important since bowling first has proved to be helpful in most recent games.
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Recent Matches of Melbourne Stars
Although the Melbourne Stars have had fierce competition this season, their recent game revealed indications of comeback. Their record over the past five 2025 games is shown below:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 01.01.25 | BBL | Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars | Stars won by 5 wickets | W |
| 28.12.24 | BBL | Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder | Thunder won by 18 runs | L |
| 26.12.24 | BBL | Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars | Sixers won by 8 wickets | L |
| 20.12.24 | BBL | Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars | Strikers won by 15 runs | L |
| 18.12.24 | BBL | Melbourne Stars vs Brisbane Heat | Heat won by 8 wickets | L |
With one win and four losses in their last five games, The Stars have had a challenging schedule. But with to outstanding efforts by Dan Lawrence and Marcus Stoinis, their most recent triumph over Brisbane Heat highlighted their capacity for recovery.
Recent Matches of Melbourne Renegades
This season the Melbourne Renegades have been erratic in their form, finding it difficult to keep momentum. Their record over the past five 2025 games is shown below:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 02.01.25 | BBL | Melbourne Renegades vs Adelaide Strikers | Strikers won by 5 wickets | L |
| 30.12.24 | BBL | Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades | Thunder won by 8 runs | L |
| 23.12.24 | BBL | Melbourne Renegades vs Perth Scorchers | Renegades won by 2 wickets | W |
| 19.12.24 | BBL | Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes | Renegades won by 6 wickets | W |
| 16.12.24 | BBL | Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades | Sixers won by 5 wickets | L |
With two victories and three losses over their last five games, the Renegades have had a mixed bag of outcomes. Though they lost their last two games, the team’s past successes showed promise especially in terms of Josh Brown and Adam Zampa.
Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades: Last Five Head-to-Head Matches
These two teams have been very competitive; the Renegades have the upper hand in most recent meetings. The following describes the past five matches these teams played:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 10.08.24 | TES | Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars | Renegades won by 4 wickets |
| 13.01.24 | BBL | Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars | Renegades won by 6 wickets |
| 02.01.24 | BBL | Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades | Stars won by 8 wickets |
| 14.01.23 | BBL | Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars | Renegades won by 6 runs |
| 03.01.23 | BBL | Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades | Renegades won by 33 runs |
The Renegades have shown great performance in Melbourne derbies, why they have controlled four of the last five meetings. But the Stars’ most recent triumph in 2024 points to their ability to flip the script.
Predicted Playing XI for Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades
Analyzing the likely approach of both sides in this high-stakes Melbourne derby depends on knowing the expected playing XI. The Melbourne Stars’ and Melbourne Renegades’ projected roster is below. Based on current performance and anticipated tactics for the MCG game, this lineup reflects.
| Melbourne Stars Player | Position | Melbourne Renegades Player | Position |
| Ben Duckett | Batsman | Josh Brown | Batsman |
| Thomas Rogers | Batsman | Jake Fraser-McGurk | Batsman |
| Sam Harper | Wicketkeeper | Tim Seifert | Wicketkeeper |
| Dan Lawrence | Batsman | Jacob Bethell | All-Rounder |
| Marcus Stoinis | Captain/All-Rounder | Mackenzie Harvey | Batsman |
| Glenn Maxwell | All-Rounder | Laurie Evans | Batsman |
| Hilton Cartwright | Batsman | Will Sutherland | Captain/All-Rounder |
| Usama Mir | Bowler | Fergus O’Neill | Bowler |
| Mark Steketee | Bowler | Tom Rogers | Bowler |
| Joel Paris | Bowler | Adam Zampa | Bowler |
| Peter Siddle | Bowler | Kane Richardson | Bowler |
This table outlines the predicted playing XI for both teams, showcasing the balance between batsmen, bowlers, and all-rounders. Both teams have included strong bowling options to counter the MCG’s batting-friendly conditions while maintaining flexibility in the middle order.
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances, making this derby a must-watch. Here are the key factors to consider:
- Dan Lawrence’s and Marcus Stoinis’ form for the Stars;
- Josh Brown’s consistency at the top order for the Renegades;
- Adam Zampa’s impact as a key bowler for the Renegades;
- Glenn Maxwell’s struggles with form for the Stars;
- The impact of toss decisions, with both teams favoring bowling first;
- The MCG pitch offering a batting-friendly surface with a par score of 180+;
- Weather conditions, with temperatures exceeding 30°C during the match;
- Pressure from the crowd and the stakes of the Melbourne derby.
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Free Tips on Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades
Knowing the subtleties of cricket will help one analyze a game like the Melbourne Derby between Melbourne Stars and Melbourne Renegades much differently. Given the fast-paced nature of the format and the great stakes of the game, this T20 match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground presents several chances for insights. Here are some pointers based on elements that can significantly affect the result of this particular game.
Tips for Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades:
- The MCG is known for its batting-friendly surface, especially in T20 games, with a par score of 180+. Expect high-scoring innings if the pitch plays true, but bowlers who can vary their pace might find success.
- With the game being played under lights, dew could come into play during the second innings, making it challenging for bowlers to grip the ball. Teams may prefer to chase to exploit this advantage.
- Keep an eye on Adam Zampa’s performance against the Stars’ middle order. His ability to outfox batsmen in key moments could be decisive for the Renegades.
- Though both sides have rather consistent teams, any late exclusions—especially of players like Marcus Stoinis or Glenn Maxwell for the Stars or Adam Zampa for the Renegades—could have a big effect on the game.
- The Stars have traditionally performed well at the MCG, their home ground. However, the Renegades have often thrived in high-pressure derby matches, making this a venue where both teams have strong motivations to excel.
These tips can guide you in understanding the key elements of this exciting matchup and how they might influence the final result.
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Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades Match Prediction 2024
The Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades odds suggest a closely contested game, but momentum is leaning toward the Stars after their recent victory. The Stars’ resurgence, driven by strong performances from key players like Dan Lawrence, combined with the Renegades’ stuttering form, gives them an edge. However, the Renegades’ historical dominance in head-to-head matches cannot be overlooked, making this an unpredictable clash.
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Winner | Melbourne Stars to win | 1.87 |
For an exciting betting experience, place your bets on this thrilling derby at bc.game.
