Lithuania vs Sweden (74:71): EuroBasket 03/09/2025

September 03, 2025
Status: Finished
74-71
EuroBasket
Lithuania
Sweden
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The highly anticipated Lithuania vs Sweden match is set to take place on September 3, 2025, at the Nokia Arena in Tampere, Finland, as part of the EuroBasket 2025 group stage. This Group B clash, kicking off at 13:30 GMT+0, promises to be a critical encounter for both teams vying for a spot in the Round of 16. While referee information is not yet available, the game’s significance in the tournament, hosted across Cyprus, Finland, Latvia, and Poland, underscores its importance for both nations’ aspirations in this prestigious FIBA Europe event.

Lithuania, a traditional basketball powerhouse, enters with a strong roster despite key absences, while Sweden aims to capitalize on their return to EuroBasket after a 12-year hiatus. The matchup will test Lithuania’s depth and experience against Sweden’s resilience and emerging talent, making it a focal point for basketball fans and bettors alike.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To craft accurate Lithuania vs Sweden betting tips, understanding recent performances and historical matchups is essential. Both teams have shown contrasting forms in their recent outings, with Lithuania displaying dominance in most games and Sweden struggling against top-tier opponents. The Lithuania vs Sweden prediction today hinges on analyzing their current rosters, tactical approaches, and head-to-head history. This section sets the stage for a detailed look at their latest results and key factors influencing the game’s outcome. Bettors should focus on these insights to make informed decisions.

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Lithuania Results

Lithuania has been a consistent force in EuroBasket, leveraging their physicality and teamwork to secure strong results in the group stage. With a mix of veteran leadership and emerging talent, they’ve shown resilience despite missing key players. Their recent performances provide a clear picture of their form heading into this match.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01/09/25EBFinland vs Lithuania78-81W
30/08/25EBLithuania vs Germany88-107L
29/08/25EBLithuania vs Montenegro94-67W
27/08/25EBGreat Britain vs Lithuania70-94W
22/08/25FILithuania vs Iceland96-83W

Lithuania’s 3-1 record in their last five games highlights their ability to dominate weaker opponents like Great Britain and Montenegro while struggling against stronger teams like Germany. Their victory over Finland on a neutral court showcases their clutch performance, led by Jonas Valančiūnas. The team’s paint dominance, with 62 points scored against Great Britain, remains a key strength. However, their perimeter shooting needs improvement after a poor showing against Germany. Overall, Lithuania’s balanced attack and rebounding prowess make them formidable.

Sweden Results

Sweden’s return to EuroBasket 2025 marks a significant milestone, but their recent performances indicate challenges against elite competition. Missing key players in some matches, they’ve relied on resilience and contributions from players like Ludvig Håkanson. Their latest results offer insight into their current form and potential in this matchup.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01/09/25EBSweden vs Montenegro81-87L
30/08/25EBGreat Britain vs Sweden59-78W
29/08/25EBGermany vs Sweden105-83L
27/08/25EBSweden vs Finland90-93L
20/08/25FISweden vs Estonia87-88L

Sweden’s 1-4 record in their last five games reflects their struggles against stronger teams, with their sole win coming against a weaker Great Britain side. Losses to Finland, Germany, and Montenegro highlight defensive vulnerabilities, particularly against high-tempo offenses. The absence of players like Pelle Larsson and Simon Birgander in some games has hurt their depth. Their narrow loss to Finland suggests competitiveness, but they’ll need to elevate their game to challenge Lithuania. Consistency remains a concern for Sweden.

Who will win Wednesday’s EuroBasket clash between Lithuania and Sweden?
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Lithuania
62%
Draw
0%
Sweden
38%
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Lithuania vs Sweden Head-to-Head Results

The historical matchups between Lithuania and Sweden heavily favor the Baltic Giants, who have dominated past encounters. These games, primarily friendlies and older EuroBasket clashes, provide context for their upcoming battle. Below are the results of their last five meetings.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
14/08/13FILithuania vs Sweden95-64
12/08/13FILithuania vs Sweden97-69
27/06/95EBLithuania vs Sweden96-73
02/07/93EBLithuania vs Sweden101-65
28/06/91EBSweden vs Lithuania79-103

Lithuania’s commanding victories in all five head-to-head games, with an average margin of 29 points, underscore their historical dominance. Their physicality and superior roster depth have consistently overwhelmed Sweden. While these results are dated, they reflect Lithuania’s ability to exploit Sweden’s weaknesses, particularly in the paint and perimeter defense.

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Lithuania vs Sweden Possible Starting Lineups

The predicted starting lineups for the Lithuania vs Sweden basketball match on September 3, 2025, reflect each team’s likely strategy based on recent performances and available players. Lithuania is expected to field a balanced lineup with a focus on paint dominance and playmaking, while Sweden will rely on perimeter shooting and versatility. The following table outlines the anticipated starting five for both teams.

Lithuania PlayerPositionSweden PlayerPosition
Jonas ValančiūnasCenterSimon BirganderCenter
Rokas JokubaitisPoint GuardLudvig HåkansonPoint Guard
Tomas DimšaShooting GuardPelle LarssonShooting Guard
Deividas SirvydisSmall ForwardViktor GaddeforsSmall Forward
Ąžuolas TubelisPower ForwardMelwin PantzarPower Forward

Injured and Questionable Players

Injuries and questionable statuses can significantly impact the Lithuania vs Sweden matchup, potentially altering team strategies and outcomes. Lithuania’s depth may help them cope with absences, but Sweden’s limited roster could struggle if key players are sidelined. The table below details players who are confirmed or likely to miss the game or are questionable.

TeamPlayerInjury/Status
LithuaniaDomantas SabonisQuestionable (ankle)
LithuaniaIgnas BrazdeikisOut (hamstring)
SwedenPelle LarssonQuestionable (knee)
SwedenSimon BirganderQuestionable (shoulder)

Key Factors to Watch

To make an informed Lithuania vs Sweden match prediction, several critical elements must be considered. Both teams’ recent performances, roster changes, and tactical approaches will shape the outcome. Here are the key factors that could decide the game:

  • Lithuania’s Form: A 3-1 record in recent games shows their ability to dominate weaker teams, with a strong win over Finland (81-78);
  • Sweden’s Struggles: A 1-4 record, including losses to Germany and Montenegro, highlights their defensive issues against elite teams;
  • Jonas Valančiūnas’ Impact: The veteran center’s dominance in the paint (18 points, 9 rebounds vs. Great Britain) is a major advantage for Lithuania;
  • Sweden’s Injuries: The potential absence of Pelle Larsson and Simon Birgander could weaken Sweden’s interior and perimeter play;
  • Lithuania’s Rebounding: Their record 57 rebounds against Great Britain showcases their control of the boards;
  • Sweden’s Perimeter Threat: Ludvig Håkanson’s scoring ability could keep Sweden competitive if he exploits Lithuania’s weaker perimeter defense;
  • Recent Successes: Lithuania’s 35 team assists against Montenegro highlight their unselfish play, while Sweden’s win over Great Britain shows potential;
  • Game Tempo: Lithuania’s physical, paint-focused style contrasts with Sweden’s need to push the pace to stay in the game.

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Free Tips on Lithuania vs Sweden

For bettors seeking an edge in the Lithuania vs Sweden matchup, focusing on specific statistical and contextual factors can enhance decision-making. This section provides actionable insights derived from team and player statistics, historical trends, and external influences. These tips are tailored to the EuroBasket clash on September 3, 2025, to guide informed betting choices.

  • Venue Influence: The Nokia Arena’s neutral setting in Tampere favors Lithuania, as their proximity to Finland draws significant fan support, boosting morale.
  • Player Form: Monitor Ludvig Håkanson’s recent scoring output, as his ability to hit three-pointers could test Lithuania’s perimeter defense.
  • Recent Schedule Impact: Lithuania’s lighter schedule compared to Sweden’s congested fixtures reduces fatigue, giving them a physical edge.
  • Pitch Conditions: The indoor court ensures consistent gameplay, favoring Lithuania’s structured, paint-heavy offense over Sweden’s faster-paced style.
  • Team Motivation: Lithuania’s drive to secure a Round of 16 spot in EuroBasket adds intensity, while Sweden’s underdog status may fuel their effort but lacks the same stakes.
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Lithuania vs Sweden Prediction 2025

The Lithuania vs Sweden prediction 2025 favors Lithuania due to their superior roster depth, physicality, and historical dominance. Lithuania’s balanced attack, led by Jonas Valančiūnas and Rokas Jokubaitis, should exploit Sweden’s defensive weaknesses, particularly in the paint. Despite Sweden’s competitiveness in their narrow loss to Finland, their 1-4 record and potential absences of key players like Pelle Larsson tilt the scales. Lithuania’s rebounding prowess and ability to control the tempo will likely overwhelm Sweden, who struggle against top-tier teams. The Lithuania vs Sweden odds reflect this, with Lithuania as clear favourites. Sweden’s chances hinge on Håkanson’s perimeter scoring and avoiding early deficits, but Lithuania’s experience and home-like support in Tampere (due to proximity) give them the edge. A disciplined Lithuanian defense should limit Sweden’s scoring opportunities, leading to a comfortable victory. Expect Lithuania to cover the spread and secure a spot in the Round of 16.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match WinnerLithuania1.3

The Lithuania vs Sweden betting tips suggest focusing on Lithuania’s dominance in the paint and rebounding to secure a double-digit victory. Place your bet on the match – Lithuania vs Sweden – at bc.game to take advantage of competitive odds and a seamless betting experience.

About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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