September 6, 2025

Status: Finished

88-79

EuroBasket

Lithuania

Latvia

The highly anticipated matchup between Lithuania and Latvia in the FIBA EuroBasket 2025 is set to take place on September 6, 2025, at the Xiaomi Arena in Riga, Latvia. With the game tipping off in the evening local time, fans can expect an intense atmosphere in this knockout stage encounter, though details on the officiating crew remain unconfirmed at this point.

This clash marks a pivotal moment in the tournament, hosted across multiple countries including Latvia, where the home team will leverage the support of their passionate crowd. As both Baltic nations vie for advancement, the stakes are high following their group stage performances, setting the stage for a classic rivalry game filled with national pride.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

As we dive into this Baltic derby, bettors should focus on recent form and historical context to make informed decisions. Lithuania vs Latvia prediction today highlights the home advantage for Latvia, combined with Lithuania’s injury woes. Understanding the last matches of each team provides crucial clues about momentum and potential weaknesses. Head-to-head encounters often reveal patterns in scoring and defensive strategies that could influence outcomes. These insights will help sharpen your betting approach for what promises to be a tightly contested affair.

Lithuania Results

Lithuania enters this matchup with a mix of strong win and a notable setback in their recent outings. The team has shown resilience in away games but struggled against top-tier opponents. Key players like Jonas Valanciunas have been pivotal, though injuries have disrupted their rhythm.

Lithuania boasts a 4-1 record in their last five, demonstrating solid offensive output averaging over 85 points per game. Their defense faltered against Germany, allowing 107 points, which exposed vulnerabilities in perimeter guarding. Wins against Sweden and Finland were close, indicating clutch performance under pressure. The team excels in rebounding, led by Valanciunas, but fatigue from a demanding schedule could play a role. Overall, their winning streak in four of five suggests momentum, tempered by the heavy loss to a strong German side.

Latvia Results

Latvia has displayed inconsistency in their recent games, blending impressive victories with tough losses. Hosting this match in Riga could boost their energy after mixed group stage results. Stars like Kristaps Porzingis remain a focal point, despite some squad depth issues from injuries.

Latvia holds a 3-2 mark in their past five, with dominant road wins showcasing efficient scoring above 90 points in victories. Losses to Serbia and Turkey highlight defensive lapses, conceding an average of 88.5 points in defeats. Their offense thrives on Porzingis’ interior presence, but turnovers plagued them in close games. Back-to-back wins recently indicate building confidence heading into the knockout. The home loss to Serbia was narrow, suggesting competitiveness against elite teams when at full strength.

Who will win Saturday’s EuroBasket clash between Lithuania and Latvia?

Lithuania > Draw > Latvia >

Lithuania

35%

Draw

0%

Latvia

65%

Lithuania vs Latvia Head-to-Head (Results of Last 5 Matches)

The rivalry between Lithuania and Latvia has produced memorable battles, often decided by slim margins in recent years. Historical data shows Lithuania dominating earlier encounters, but Latvia has shown improvement in prep games. These matchups frequently feature high-scoring affairs, influenced by familiar playing styles.

Lithuania holds a 4-1 edge in these games, with the most recent going to overtime, underscoring the growing competitiveness. Latvia’s 2023 World Cup win stands out as their sole victory, marked by a blowout.

Predicted Starting Lineups for Lithuania vs Latvia Basketball Match

The Lithuania vs Latvia clash in the FIBA EuroBasket 2025 knockout stage hinges on key players stepping up, especially with injuries impacting both squads. Below are the projected starting lineups for both teams, based on recent performances, available players, and tactical setups. These lineups reflect the likely starters for the game on September 6, 2025, at Xiaomi Arena in Riga, considering each team’s current roster situation and strategic preferences.

Injured and Questionable Players

Both Lithuania and Latvia face challenges with key players sidelined or questionable for the September 6, 2025, matchup, which could significantly alter their game plans. The table below outlines the players who are confirmed unavailable or doubtful due to injuries, based on the latest team news. These absences will impact rotations and strategies, particularly for Lithuania’s backcourt and Latvia’s bench depth.

Key Factors to Watch

Before placing bets, consider the broader context shaping this game. Injuries have hit both sides, potentially altering lineups and strategies. Form, recent streaks, and external elements like home court will be decisive.

• Lithuania’s star guard Rokas Jokubaitis is out for the tournament with an ACL and meniscus injury in his left knee;
• Another Lithuanian guard has suffered a recent injury, further depleting their backcourt depth;
• Latvia is dealing with injuries to Arturs Zagars, Martins Laksa, and Rodions Kurucs, limiting their rotation;
• Lithuania remains unbeaten in some reports but has shown vulnerability in losses like against Germany;
• Latvia benefits from home advantage in Riga, where crowd support could add 3-5 points effectively;
• Porzingis’ presence for Latvia provides a mismatch advantage in the paint against Lithuania’s frontcourt;
• Lithuania’s winning series in four of five group games indicates strong form, despite setbacks;
• Latvia’s 3-2 record includes impressive road wins, but losses to top teams reveal inconsistencies;
• No major scandals reported, but motivation is high in this Baltic rivalry for national pride;
• Travel fatigue minimal as both teams are regional, but Lithuania’s injuries compound potential tiredness.

Love Sports? Dive into our article and start your journey to becoming a more confident bettor on BC.GAME today!

Bet Now

Free Tips on Lithuania vs Latvia

The Lithuania vs Latvia matchup in the FIBA EuroBasket 2025 knockout stage is a clash where preparation and insight can make all the difference for bettors. By studying historical data and current team dynamics, you can uncover patterns that inform smarter betting decisions. Below are five carefully selected tips to guide your approach to this exciting Baltic derby.

• Evaluate Recent Scoring Trends: Analyze the offensive output from both teams’ last five games, where Latvia averaged 86.4 points and Lithuania 85.6, suggesting a high-scoring game likely exceeding 170 total points.
• Consider Pitch and Venue Conditions: Xiaomi Arena’s indoor court ensures consistent playing conditions, but Latvia’s familiarity with the venue could enhance their fast-paced style, unlike Lithuania’s road challenges.
• Assess Player-Specific Contributions: Focus on Latvia’s Kristaps Porzingis, who’s averaging 20+ points recently, as his scoring consistency could exploit Lithuania’s depleted backcourt.
• Review Betting Odds for Value: Look for value in Lithuania vs Latvia odds, particularly on Latvia’s moneyline or over/under markets, as bookmakers may undervalue Latvia’s home performance.
• Check Recent Fixture Load: Latvia’s lighter recent schedule compared to Lithuania’s demanding travel could reduce fatigue, giving the hosts an edge in late-game execution.

Lithuania vs Latvia Match Prediction 2025

In this crucial FIBA EuroBasket 2025 encounter, we predict a Latvia victory, driven by their home-court edge at Xiaomi Arena and Lithuania’s significant injury setbacks. Without Rokas Jokubaitis and another key guard, Lithuania’s backcourt lacks depth, making it challenging to contain Latvia’s offensive threats like Kristaps Porzingis, who can dominate inside and stretch the floor. Latvia’s recent form shows explosive scoring in wins, averaging over 95 points, while their defense has held firm in tight games. Historical head-to-head favors Lithuania overall, but the most recent prep game went to overtime, signaling Latvia’s improvement and ability to compete closely. Playing in Riga amplifies Latvia’s motivation, as the passionate crowd could disrupt Lithuania’s rhythm, especially given their 1-1 road record in recent outings. Bookmakers reflect this, with Lithuania vs Latvia odds listing Latvia as favorites around 1.45 to win outright, implying a 65-70% probability. Lithuania’s resilience, led by Jonas Valanciunas, might keep it competitive, but the injury toll tips the scales. Expect a high-scoring affair, potentially over 170 total points, as both teams push tempo in this rivalry. Latvia’s depth issues are mitigated by home energy, while Lithuania’s losses expose perimeter weaknesses that Porzingis and company can exploit. Ultimately, we see Latvia advancing with a 85-78 win, covering a -4.5 spread. This prediction accounts for current form, where Latvia’s 3-2 includes blowout wins, contrasting Lithuania’s closer victories amid roster challenges. Bettors should monitor last-minute lineups, but the value lies in Latvia’s moneyline.

Place your bet on the Lithuania vs Latvia match at bc.game, where competitive odds and exciting promotions await for this thrilling EuroBasket clash.