Get ready for a thrilling EuroBasket opener as Latvia takes on Turkey in Riga! This Latvia vs Turkey prediction 2025 dives into a clash of two talented squads with big ambitions, set to light up Xiaomi Arena. With home crowd energy and star power on both sides, this game promises intensity from tip-off to buzzer.
The match tips off at 15:00 GMT+0 on August 27, 2025, at Xiaomi Arena in Riga, kicking off Round 1 of EuroBasket 2025. No referee information is available, but the stage is set for a high-stakes battle in this prestigious tournament. Latvia, playing on home soil, aims to leverage their sharpshooting roster, while Turkey brings a deep, NBA-heavy lineup led by Alperen Sengun.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Let’s set the stage for this Latvia vs Turkey match prediction. Both teams are coming off strong pre-tournament performances, with Latvia showing offensive firepower and Turkey building momentum. The Latvia vs Turkey prediction today hinges on recent form, head-to-head history, and key player matchups. We’ll break down their last five games and past encounters to give you a clear edge. Stay tuned for actionable Latvia vs Turkey betting tips below!
Latvia Results
Latvia’s recent form shows they’re a force at home, blending three-point shooting with gritty defense. Under coach Luca Banchi, they’ve built a cohesive unit ready to make a deep EuroBasket run. Their star-studded roster, led by Kristaps Porzingis, is primed to shine.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 21/08/25 | FI | Italy vs Latvia | 68-83 | W |
| 20/08/25 | FI | Greece vs Latvia | 104-86 | L |
| 16/08/25 | FI | Latvia vs Slovenia | 100-88 | W |
| 14/08/25 | FI | Latvia vs Lithuania | 105-109 | L |
| 09/08/25 | FI | Italy vs Latvia | 91-75 | L |
Latvia’s 3-2 record in their last five games reflects their offensive strength, averaging over 90 points. Their home wins against Slovenia and Italy highlight their crowd-fueled energy. Losses to Greece and Lithuania exposed some defensive lapses, particularly against big men. Porzingis’ return adds rim protection, but perimeter defense will be key. Expect them to lean on their three-point shooting to stretch Turkey’s defense.
Turkey Results
Turkey’s been building chemistry, with their NBA talent stepping up in prep games. Alperen Sengun and Shane Larkin form a dynamic duo, but consistency remains a question. Coach Ergin Ataman’s aggressive style could spark or falter under pressure.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 23/08/25 | FI | Turkey vs Montenegro | 96-85 | W |
| 20/08/25 | FI | Lithuania vs Turkey | 81-84 | W |
| 16/08/25 | SC | Turkey vs Czech Republic | 79-65 | W |
| 15/08/25 | SC | Germany vs Turkey | 73-71 | L |
| 07/08/25 | FI | Turkey vs Lithuania | 70-91 | L |
Turkey’s 3-2 record shows they can hang with tough opponents, with wins over Montenegro, Lithuania, and the Czech Republic. Their loss to Germany exposed rebounding weaknesses, a concern against Latvia’s frontcourt. Sengun’s dominance in the paint is a major asset. Larkin’s playmaking will test Latvia’s guards. Turkey needs Furkan Korkmaz to find his shooting touch to keep pace.
Latvia vs Turkey Head-to-Head Results
Past clashes between these teams have been high-scoring affairs, with Latvia holding an edge. Their games often come down to shooting efficiency and clutch plays. Let’s look at their last five meetings.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 24/02/23 | WC | Turkey vs Latvia | 74-83 |
| 25/08/22 | WC | Latvia vs Turkey | 111-85 |
| 26/02/18 | WC | Latvia vs Turkey | 79-70 |
| 24/11/17 | WC | Turkey vs Latvia | 85-73 |
| 07/09/17 | EB | Latvia vs Turkey | 89-79 |
Latvia’s won four of the last five, dominating at home with a 26-point rout in 2022. Turkey’s sole win in 2017 came from strong interior play. Latvia’s perimeter shooting has been the difference, but Turkey’s depth could challenge them.
Predicted Starting Lineups for Latvia vs Turkey
Get a sneak peek at the likely starting lineups for the Latvia vs Turkey EuroBasket 2025 opener in Riga! These predictions are based on recent player performances, coaching tendencies, and team strategies, setting the stage for a thrilling matchup. Below, we’ve laid out the expected starters for both teams, highlighting key players and their roles on the court.
| Latvia Player | Position | Turkey Player | Position |
| Porzingis | Center | Sengun | Center |
| Smits | Power Forward | Osman | Small Forward |
| Bertans, Davis | Small Forward | Larkin | Point Guard |
| Zagars | Point Guard | Korkmaz | Shooting Guard |
| Lomazs | Shooting Guard | Osmani | Power Forward |
Key Factors to Watch
This game’s outcome rests on critical elements that could swing either way. Both teams bring star power, but execution and intangibles will decide the winner. Here’s what to focus on:
- Latvia’s home crowd energy boosting performance;
- Kristaps Porzingis’ health and impact in the paint;
- Latvia’s three-point shooting, led by Davis Bertans and Rihards Lomazs;
- Turkey’s Alperen Sengun dominating inside against Latvia’s bigs;
- Shane Larkin’s ability to control the tempo and create shots;
- Furkan Korkmaz’s shooting consistency, critical for Turkey’s offense;
- Latvia’s defensive discipline against Turkey’s pick-and-roll plays;
- Turkey’s bench depth, with players like Adem Bona and Omer Yurtseven.
Free Tips on Latvia vs Turkey
Looking to make smart bets on the Latvia vs Turkey clash at EuroBasket 2025? This list of free tips zeroes in on critical factors to guide your wagers, tailored to this high-stakes opener in Riga. Let’s dive into practical insights to boost your Latvia vs Turkey betting tips.
- Check Recent Scoring Trends: Latvia’s high-octane offense averaged 89.8 points in their last five games, while Turkey managed 80.0; look at over/under bets based on this scoring pace.
- Evaluate Away Game Struggles: Turkey’s 1-2 record in recent away games suggests they may falter against Latvia’s home crowd; consider this for spread bets.
- Assess Referee Tendencies: EuroBasket refs often call tight games, so check if the assigned official leans toward high foul counts, impacting bets on player props like free throws.
- Factor in Fixture Fatigue: Latvia played five prep games in August, while Turkey had a congested schedule with four; fatigue could slow Turkey’s transition defense, favoring Latvia’s fast breaks.
- Consider Pitch Surface Impact: Xiaomi Arena’s court is optimized for quick play, suiting Latvia’s three-point shooting style over Turkey’s interior focus; this could tilt total points bets toward the over.
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Latvia vs Turkey Match Prediction 2025
Latvia’s poised to edge out Turkey in this EuroBasket opener, thanks to their home advantage and sharpshooting prowess. The Latvia vs Turkey odds favor the hosts, and for good reason: their three-point barrage, led by Davis Bertans and Rihards Lomazs, could overwhelm Turkey’s perimeter defense. Porzingis, fully healthy, adds a defensive anchor and scoring versatility that Turkey’s frontcourt, even with Sengun’s brilliance, may struggle to match. Turkey’s hopes rest on Larkin’s playmaking and a resurgent Korkmaz, but their inconsistent three-point shooting (32% in prep games) might not keep up with Latvia’s 38% clip. Coach Banchi’s disciplined system outshines Ataman’s high-risk approach in clutch moments. Latvia’s recent home wins, like their 100-88 victory over Slovenia, show they thrive under pressure. Turkey’s depth is a threat, but their 71-point dud against Germany suggests vulnerabilities. Expect a close game, but Latvia’s crowd and firepower should seal it. Bet on Latvia to win by 5-8 points.
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Latvia Win | 1.65 |
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