Finland vs Germany (61:91): EuroBasket 03/09/2025

September 03, 2025
Status: Finished
61-91
EuroBasket
Finland
Germany
match decor

The match Finland vs Germany will take place on 03/09/2025 at 17:30 GMT+0 at the Nokia Arena in Tampere. This is Round 5 of the EuroBasket group stage, and the stakes are very high as both teams are competing for the best position ahead of the knockout phase.

The referees for this game have not yet been officially announced, but EuroBasket always assigns top FIBA officials to games of this magnitude. Both Finland and Germany have shown strong form so far, and this clash could be decisive in shaping the bracket for the Round of 16.

Finland vs Germany Betting Tips and Match Insights

The Finland vs Germany prediction today comes down to form, depth, and tactical execution. Finland must win this match to avoid finishing third, while Germany can afford a loss of up to 11 points and still top the group. The Germans are in outstanding shape, having won comfortably in every game. Finland, on the other hand, stumbled against Lithuania and showed weaknesses in rebounding and half-court play. Expect this game to be played at high intensity since the group standings are on the line.

Finland Results

Finland has been impressive in most games during EuroBasket 2025, combining a fast tempo with strong perimeter shooting. Their star Lauri Markkanen has been the central figure, although the defeat to Lithuania showed the team’s limits. Below are the results from the last five matches.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01.09.25EuroBasketFinland vs Lithuania78:81L
30.08.25EuroBasketMontenegro vs Finland65:85W
29.08.25EuroBasketFinland vs Great Britain109:79W
27.08.25EuroBasketSweden vs Finland90:93W
21.08.25FriendlyFinland vs Poland106:87W

Finland has four wins from their last five games, showing offensive strength and efficiency. Their victory over Great Britain by 30 points underlines their attacking quality. The close win against Sweden also highlights their resilience in tight moments. The only setback was against Lithuania, where physical play disrupted their rhythm. Overall, Finland’s form suggests they can compete with anyone if they maintain pace and ball movement.

Germany Results

Germany entered the tournament as one of the top favorites and so far has lived up to expectations. They have dominated their opponents with a balanced offense and defense, making them one of the hardest teams to beat. Here are their latest results.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01.09.25EuroBasketGermany vs Great Britain120:57W
30.08.25EuroBasketLithuania vs Germany88:107W
29.08.25EuroBasketGermany vs Sweden105:83W
27.08.25EuroBasketMontenegro vs Germany76:106W
23.08.25FriendlyGermany vs Spain95:78W

Germany has been unstoppable with five straight wins. They demolished Great Britain by over 60 points, showing incredible dominance. Their win over Lithuania was convincing and underlined their ability to handle strong teams. Franz Wagner and Dennis Schroder have been leading with consistency, supported by a deep roster. This team is in peak condition and playing like a true favorite.

Who will win Wednesday’s EuroBasket clash between Finland and Germany?
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Finland
10%
Draw
0%
Germany
90%
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Finland vs Germany Head-to-Head Results

These two teams have faced each other regularly in recent years, and Germany has enjoyed more success. Finland has managed only one win from the last five meetings. The results are listed below.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
29.08.23World CupGermany vs Finland101:75
27.02.23WC QualifierFinland vs Germany81:87
11.11.22WC QualifierGermany vs Finland94:80
19.08.16Super CupGermany vs Finland75:66
06.08.16FriendlyFinland vs Germany86:79

Germany has won four of the last five matchups. Most of the victories were by clear margins, which gives them confidence entering this game. Finland did manage a win in 2016, but since then Germany has been dominant. The recent head-to-head record suggests Germany holds the upper hand.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for Finland vs Germany in Basketball

Here is a look at the likely starting lineups for Finland and Germany ahead of their EuroBasket 2025 clash. These projected rosters are based on recent performances, rotations used in previous group matches, and the availability of key players. Final selections could still change, but these players are the most probable starters.

Finland PlayerPositionGermany PlayerPosition
KoskinenPGSchroderPG
SalinSGObstSG
JantunenSFWagnerSF
MarkkanenPFThiemannPF
Mikael JantunenCVoelkelC

Key Factors Before the Match

Finland and Germany approach this game with different strengths and challenges. Here are the most important points to follow.

  • Finland needs to win by more than 11 points to top the group;
  • Germany can secure first place even with a loss of up to 11 points;
  • Lauri Markkanen struggled against Lithuania’s physical defense;
  • Germany is missing Johannes Voigtmann, Moritz Wagner, Isaiah Hartenstein, David Kramer, and Nick Weiler-Babb;
  • Franz Wagner and Dennis Schroder are in excellent form for Germany;
  • Finland relies on transition play but suffers when the pace slows down;
  • Germany scored 120 points against Great Britain, showing their offensive depth;
  • Fatigue could be an issue for Finland after four tough group matches.

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Free Tips on Finland vs Germany

When thinking about betting on Finland vs Germany, it is important to look at more than just the scorelines. The history between these teams, current momentum, and individual player form can tell us a lot about what to expect. Here are several practical tips that will help in understanding where the value might lie in this matchup.

  • Germany has dominated the head-to-head record, winning four of the last five meetings, which gives them a psychological advantage going into this clash;
  • Finland looked strong in earlier games but the loss to Lithuania revealed issues against physical defenses, something Germany is well-equipped to repeat;
  • The absence of Johannes Voigtmann and other German players has not slowed them down, yet it is still worth noting as it affects rotation depth;
  • Finland is playing under pressure since they must win by a certain margin to climb higher in the group, while Germany enters with more flexibility and confidence;
  • Player form is decisive, with Franz Wagner and Dennis Schroder leading Germany consistently, while Lauri Markkanen must bounce back after being shut down by Lithuania.
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Finland vs Germany Match Prediction 2025

The Finland vs Germany odds suggest a strong preference for Germany due to their dominant performances and overall depth. Finland’s path to victory depends on fast breaks, Markkanen’s scoring, and controlling the boards, but that will be very difficult against a team that looks almost flawless. Germany’s guards and wings are in top form, and their bench continues to deliver consistent production. Finland’s only chance is to disrupt Germany’s rhythm, but given the evidence from previous games, it looks unlikely they can sustain that for four quarters. We expect Germany to cover the spread comfortably and maintain their unbeaten record at EuroBasket 2025.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultGermany Win1.05

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About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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