Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – ATP Basel 22/10/2024

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez - Our Expert Prediction & Betting Analysis.

The highly anticipated match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Sebastian Baez will take place on 22 October 2024 at 08:00 GMT as part of the ATP 1/16 finals in Basel, Switzerland. The match will be held on indoor hard courts, where Auger-Aliassime, the defending champion, is a two-time winner. The tournament is being held at St. Jakobshalle, one of the premier venues for indoor tennis, and both players will be looking to secure their place in the next round.

Auger-Aliassime, currently ranked 19th in the live ATP rankings, faces a tough but manageable opponent in Sebastian Baez, ranked 26th. Baez has struggled on indoor hard courts, making Auger-Aliassime a clear favorite in this encounter. Both players have had contrasting forms leading up to this match, with Auger-Aliassime aiming to defend his title, while Baez looks to break his poor indoor form.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez Betting Tips

When preparing for today’s Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez prediction, it’s important to consider the current form and history between the two players. Auger-Aliassime comes into this match as a two-time defending champion at Basel, riding a 10-match winning streak in this venue. On the other hand, Baez is on a four-match losing streak and has not won a match on an indoor hard court since 2022.

Both players met recently in the Davis Cup, where Auger-Aliassime won comfortably in straight sets. Given these factors, the betting tips point heavily in favor of Auger-Aliassime winning in straight sets once again.

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Recent Matches of Felix Auger-Aliassime

Felix Auger-Aliassime has had a mix of results in his last few matches, showcasing both strength and vulnerability. The following table lists his recent performances:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
18/10/24AntwerpAuger-Aliassime vs Bautista-Agut1-2L
16/10/24AntwerpAuger-Aliassime vs Fucsovics2-1W
04/10/24ShanghaiAuger-Aliassime vs Muller0-2L
26/09/24TokyoAuger-Aliassime vs Nishioka1-2L
15/09/24Davis CupAuger-Aliassime vs Draper2-0W

In his last five matches, Auger-Aliassime has had two wins and three losses. While his form has been inconsistent, he tends to perform better on hard courts, especially indoors. His victory over Jack Draper in the Davis Cup highlights his ability to dominate on this surface, which is a good sign ahead of this match in Basel.

Recent Matches of Sebastian Baez

Sebastian Baez, on the other hand, has been struggling in recent weeks. His last five matches show a clear pattern of underperformance, particularly on hard courts:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
17/10/24AntwerpBaez vs Bergs0-2L
04/10/24ShanghaiBaez vs Monfils1-2L
10/09/24Davis CupBaez vs Auger-Aliassime0-2L
28/08/24US OpenBaez vs Griekspoor0-1L
26/08/24US OpenBaez vs Darderi3-1W

Baez has managed only one win in his last five matches. His losses, particularly on indoor hard courts, show a clear weakness on this surface. He’s also on a four-match losing streak, which will likely affect his confidence going into this match.

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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez Head-to-Head

The head-to-head record between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Sebastian Baez shows a clear advantage for Auger-Aliassime:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
10/09/24Davis CupAuger-Aliassime vs Baez2-0

The only meeting between these two players occurred in September 2024, when Auger-Aliassime won in straight sets. Given Baez’s struggles on indoor hard courts, this result is a strong indicator that Auger-Aliassime is likely to prevail again.

Key Factors to Watch

As we look ahead to this match, there are several key points that should be taken into consideration:

  • Auger-Aliassime’s indoor hard court dominance: He has won 10 consecutive matches in Basel;
  • Baez’s poor indoor hard court record: Only 1 win in his last 14 matches on this surface since 2022;
  • Recent form: Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent but shows potential on indoor hard courts, while Baez is on a four-match losing streak;
  • Head-to-head result: Auger-Aliassime comfortably defeated Baez in straight sets at the Davis Cup;
  • Pressure on Baez: His inability to perform on indoor courts adds mental pressure;
  • Auger-Aliassime’s title defence: As a two-time champion, he will be motivated to extend his winning streak in Basel;
  • Baez’s struggle to win on faster surfaces: Baez is more successful on clay courts but struggles on faster hard courts;
  • Fatigue factor: Baez’s recent losses may indicate physical or mental fatigue.
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Free Tips on Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez

When evaluating the upcoming match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Sebastian Baez, there are several important factors that can influence the outcome. Understanding the playing styles, surface preferences, and recent trends of each player can provide valuable insights for betting. Below, we’ve highlighted key points that could impact the match, helping you make a more informed decision.

  • Surface Type: The match will be played on an indoor hard court, a surface where Felix Auger-Aliassime excels. Baez, on the other hand, has struggled on indoor hard courts, with only one win on this surface since 2022. Auger-Aliassime’s strong performance history on hard courts gives him a clear advantage.
  • Fatigue & Match Duration: Baez has lost his last four matches and may be mentally and physically fatigued. Auger-Aliassime, although coming off a few losses himself, is familiar with playing deep into tournaments at Basel, which could give him an edge in endurance.
  • Serving Strength & Break Points: Auger-Aliassime’s powerful serve will be a critical factor. He tends to hold serve effectively, especially on fast surfaces like indoor hard courts, while Baez has struggled to maintain his serve in pressure situations, particularly in recent losses.
  • Mental Toughness: Auger-Aliassime has demonstrated mental resilience, particularly in Basel where he is a two-time defending champion. Baez, meanwhile, may struggle to maintain focus under pressure, as evidenced by his recent losing streak and poor form on indoor hard courts.
  • Head-to-Head Records: Auger-Aliassime has a 1-0 head-to-head advantage over Baez, having won their last encounter at the Davis Cup in straight sets. This recent win adds to the confidence that Auger-Aliassime will have heading into this match.

These tips, tailored specifically for this Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez matchup, will help you navigate your betting strategy more effectively.

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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez Match Prediction 2024

In this Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez prediction, we foresee a straightforward victory for Auger-Aliassime. He has proven to be a dominant force in Basel, while Baez’s struggles on indoor hard courts make it difficult to see him overcoming the Canadian. Auger-Aliassime’s aggressive style and strong serve are well-suited to the conditions, and with Baez on a losing streak, the odds are clearly in favor of Auger-Aliassime.

Our Prediction: Felix Auger-Aliassime 2-0 Sebastian Baez

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
WinnerFelix Auger-Aliassime1.13
Correct score2-01.38

Betting on this match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Sebastian Baez can be an exciting opportunity, especially with bc.game. Place your bet on Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez at bc.game for the best odds and offers available.

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About the Author

Born in Perth in 1987, Edward Collins, a recognized betting expert, achieved a Master’s in Sport Biomechanics from the University of Sydney in 2013. From 2014 to 2021, he collaborated with Australia’s tennis coaching associations, specializing in serve mechanics and court movement analysis. Collins has been credited with 13 academic papers, focusing primarily on player stamina and racquet technology. In 2022, he shifted gears to journalism. Currently, Collins dedicates himself to crafting analytical articles on tennis, offering insights into match strategies and player development, and regularly contributes his expertise to various sports media outlets.

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