On May 5, 2024, at 16:30 local time, the ATP Mutua Madrid Open will culminate in a thrilling final between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Andrey Rublev on the outdoor clay courts of Madrid, Spain. This marks a pivotal moment in the tournament, showcasing a battle between the seventh seed, Rublev, and the unseeded Canadian, Auger-Aliassime, at this prestigious stage. Both players have demonstrated remarkable resilience and skill to reach this point, promising a compelling clash as they aim for their first title in Madrid.
Betting Tips for Auger-Aliassime vs Rublev
As we delve into the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev prediction today, it’s essential to consider their recent performances and historical matchups. Both players have shown a resurgence in form, making this match not only a test of skill but also of mental toughness. Rublev, having conquered formidable opponents and Auger-Aliassime overcoming challenges through fortuitous circumstances, sets the stage for a dramatic showdown.
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Recent Matches of Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime has shown a significant upturn in his performance, reflecting his determination to climb back into the top echelons of the tennis world. His journey to the final has been marked by both skill and a bit of luck:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Win/Loss |
| 03.05.24 | MAD | Auger-Aliassime F. vs Lehecka J. | 0-0 | W (Finished / Retired – Lehecka J.) |
| 02.05.24 | MAD | Sinner J. vs Auger-Aliassime F. | – | W (Sinner Jannik – withdrawn) |
| 30.04.24 | MAD | Auger-Aliassime F. vs Ruud C. | 2-0 | W |
| 29.04.24 | MAD | Mensik J. vs Auger-Aliassime F. | 0-1 | W |
| 27.04.24 | MAD | Auger-Aliassime F. vs Mannarino A. | 2-0 | W |
Felix’s path to the final has been facilitated by the withdrawal and retirement of some opponents, yet his ability to seize opportunities has been crucial.
Recent Matches of Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev’s road to the Madrid final highlights his return to form and his ability to dispatch top-tier opponents with relative ease:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Win/Loss |
| 03.05.24 | MAD | Fritz T. vs Rublev A. | 0-2 | W |
| 01.05.24 | MAD | Rublev A. vs Alcaraz C. | 2-1 | W |
| 30.04.24 | MAD | Rublev A. vs Griekspoor T. | 2-0 | W |
| 28.04.24 | MAD | Rublev A. vs Davidovich Fokina A. | 2-0 | W |
| 26.04.24 | MAD | Rublev A. vs Bagnis F. | 2-0 | W |
Rublev’s consistent performance, especially his victory over the defending champion Alcaraz, underscores his readiness for the final challenge.
Head-to-Head: Auger-Aliassime vs Rublev
The head-to-head record between Auger-Aliassime and Rublev provides insights into their competitive dynamics:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 14.02.24 | ROT | Auger-Aliassime F. vs Rublev A. | 1-2 |
| 28.06.23 | BOO | Auger-Aliassime F. vs Rublev A. | 0-2 |
| 20.02.22 | MAR | Auger-Aliassime F. vs Rublev A. | 0-2 |
| 12.02.22 | ROT | Auger-Aliassime F. vs Rublev A. | 2-1 |
| 17.01.20 | ADE | Rublev A. vs Auger-Aliassime F. | 2-1 |
Rublev’s dominance in most of their meetings, especially on clay, may give him a psychological edge.
Key Points to Consider
Before placing your bets, consider these crucial factors affecting both players:
- Rublev’s recent return to form, especially on clay;
- Auger-Aliassime’s somewhat fortuitous path to the final;
- Rublev’s historical advantage over Auger-Aliassime, especially on clay;
- Potential impact of physical fitness, given Auger-Aliassime’s recent matches involving opponents’ withdrawals;
- Importance of mental toughness in a high-stakes final;
- Weather conditions as they can impact play on clay;
- Recent tournament wins and losses;
- Any ongoing injuries or controversies that could affect performance.
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Free Tips on Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev
When considering a bet on the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev match at the ATP Mutua Madrid Open, it’s essential to understand several critical factors that can influence the outcome beyond just the players’ rankings. This match presents unique challenges and opportunities for betting, and here are some free tips based on their recent performances, the match conditions, and historical data.
- Surface Suitability: The match is played on clay, a surface that demands specific skills and can greatly affect player performance. Rublev has shown strong performances on clay, evidenced by his victory over Carlos Alcaraz earlier in the tournament. Consider how each player’s game translates to clay, which is slower and requires more strategic point construction.
- Recent Fatigue Levels: Both players have had a taxing tournament, but Auger-Aliassime has had a somewhat smoother path with several of his opponents retiring early. Evaluate whether Rublev’s more grueling path to the final might impact his energy and performance levels.
- Serving Dynamics: Analyze both players’ ability to serve under pressure. Rublev has been effective at holding serve throughout the tournament, which could be crucial in a high-stakes match. Auger-Aliassime’s service games will also be key, especially considering his past inconsistencies in pressure moments.
- Adaptability and In-Match Strategy: Tennis matches can swing dramatically based on a player’s ability to adapt their strategy. Both players have demonstrated tactical shifts during their matches at this tournament, but Rublev’s experience and previous performance on clay might give him an upper hand in strategy adaptation.
- Mental Resilience: Given the stakes of the final, the mental toughness of each player will be under scrutiny. Rublev’s ability to come back from a set down against Alcaraz shows a strong mental game, which could be pivotal in the final.
These tips are designed to give you a deeper insight into what to consider when placing your bet on this exciting final. Each point reflects a combination of current form, historical performance, and match-specific conditions, providing a well-rounded approach to betting.
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Match Prediction: Auger-Aliassime vs Rublev 2024
Given the dynamics and history between these two players, the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev odds favor Rublev. His more consistent performance and dominance in their past clay matchup provide a strong basis for predicting his victory. Rublev’s ability to overcome high-ranked players convincingly in this tournament further solidifies his position as the favorite.
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Winner | Andrey Rublev | 1.39 |
| Total Games Over/Under | Under 22.5 | 1.93 |
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