The fourth Test of the 2025–2027 ICC World Test Championship between England and India promises to be a cracker, with England leading 2-1 after a thrilling 22-run victory at Lord’s. Set to kick off at 10:00 GMT+0 on July 23, 2025, at Emirates Old Trafford, Manchester, this match could decide the series, as England aim to seal the Anderson-Tendulkar Trophy, while India fight to level things up for a shot at glory in the fifth Test.
Under referee Ivan Martincic from Croatia, this World Test Championship clash is the fourth of a five-match bilateral series, hosted at a venue known for its balanced pitches but with rain expected on Days 1 and 2, potentially shaping strategies. Both teams are loaded with talent, but England’s home advantage and India’s resilient batting make this England vs India match prediction a tough call, with key players like Ben Stokes and Shubman Gill likely to steer the narrative.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Get ready for a deep dive into the England vs India prediction today, as we unpack the form, history, and stakes for both sides. England’s aggressive “Bazball” approach has paid off at home, but India’s batting firepower, led by Gill’s 607 runs this series, keeps them in the hunt. Recent clashes have been nail-biters, with England edging out at Lord’s thanks to Stokes’ bowling heroics. The head-to-head battles show England’s dominance, but India’s ability to bounce back, as seen at Edgbaston, adds spice to this contest. Let’s break down their recent performances and past encounters to set the stage for our England vs India betting tips.
England Results
England’s campaign in this series has been a rollercoaster, blending moments of brilliance with occasional stumbles. Their bold batting and versatile bowling have kept them ahead, but the pressure is on to close out the series at Old Trafford. Below is a snapshot of their last five matches across all competitions, highlighting their form.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 07/10/2025 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 387/387, Eng won by 22 runs | W |
| 07/02/2025 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 407/587, Ind won by 336 runs | L |
| 06/20/2025 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 465/471, Eng won by 5 wkts | W |
| 06/05/2025 | Test Match | England vs Zimbabwe | Eng won by an innings | W |
| 03/07/2025 | Test Match | New Zealand vs England | Eng won by 323 runs | W |
England’s 2-1 series lead reflects their knack for clutch performances, especially at home, with wins at Headingley and Lord’s showcasing their chasing prowess. The loss at Edgbaston, where they crumbled chasing 608, exposed vulnerabilities against India’s pace attack, led by Akash Deep. Jamie Smith’s 415 runs, including a heroic 184* at Edgbaston, underline his consistency, while Stokes’ leadership and all-round impact keep England ticking. Jofra Archer’s return has added bite, but rain at Old Trafford could test their adaptability. Their strong home record, with six wins in their last ten Tests against India, gives them an edge.
India Results
India, under new captain Shubman Gill, have shown flashes of dominance but struggled to convert starts into series leads. Their youthful squad is adapting to English conditions, with their bowling attack stepping up despite missing veterans like Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli. Here’s a look at their last five matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 07/10/2025 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 387/387, Eng won by 22 runs | L |
| 07/02/2025 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 587/407, Ind won by 336 runs | W |
| 06/20/2025 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 471/465, Eng won by 5 wkts | L |
| 03/14/2025 | Test Match | India vs South Africa | Ind won by 174 runs | W |
| 02/12/2025 | ODI | India vs England | Ind won by 4 wkts | W |
India’s emphatic 336-run win at Edgbaston, powered by Gill’s 269 and Akash Deep’s ten wickets, proved their potential to dominate. However, losses at Headingley and Lord’s, where they failed to defend a target, highlight inconsistency in closing games. Gill’s 607 runs make him a standout, but the opening pair of Yashasvi Jaiswal and KL Rahul needs to fire consistently. Their bowling, led by Jasprit Bumrah and Mohammed Siraj, has been lethal, but rain could disrupt their rhythm. India’s ability to bounce back after setbacks keeps them dangerous.
England vs India Head-to-Head Results
The rivalry between England and India is steeped in history, with England holding a 53-36 edge in 139 Tests. Recent matches have been tightly contested, with both sides trading blows in this series. Below are the last five head-to-head encounters.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 07/10/2025 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 387/387, Eng won by 22 runs |
| 07/02/2025 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 587/407, Ind won by 336 runs |
| 06/20/2025 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 471/465, Eng won by 5 wkts |
| 07/01/2022 | World Test Championship | England vs India | 378/378, Eng won by 7 wkts |
| 08/12/2021 | World Test Championship | England vs India | Ind won by 151 runs |
England’s recent dominance, winning three of the last five, owes much to their home advantage and “Bazball” aggression, though India’s Edgbaston rout shows they can flip the script. The Lord’s thriller, where both teams scored 387, underscores how little separates them. Old Trafford’s history, favoring teams batting first, could shape strategies.
Predicted Cricket Line-ups for England vs India
Get ready for the fourth Test at Old Trafford on July 23, 2025, where England and India will field their best XIs in a pivotal World Test Championship clash. The line-ups below reflect England’s confirmed XI from your data, with India’s predicted XI based on recent team news and form. These selections highlight each team’s strategy, balancing aggressive batting, pace, and spin to tackle Manchester’s conditions.
| England Player | Position | India Player | Position |
| Crawley | Batter | Jaiswal | Batter |
| Duckett | Batter | Rahul | Batter |
| Pope | Batter | Nair | Batter |
| Root | All-rounder | Gill | Batter |
| Smith | Wicket-keeper | Pant | Wicket-keeper |
| Brook | Batter | Jurel | Batter |
| Stokes | All-rounder | Jadeja | All-rounder |
| Woakes | All-rounder | Thakur | All-rounder |
| Carse | Bowler | Bumrah | Bowler |
| Archer | Bowler | Siraj | Bowler |
| Dawson | Bowler | Krishna | Bowler |
Key Factors to Watch
As we build our England vs India prediction 2025, several elements will likely decide the outcome at Old Trafford. From injuries to form, these factors will shape the contest and influence betting decisions. Here’s what to keep an eye on:
- England’s bowling injuries: Jofra Archer’s return is a boost, but his workload after a long Test absence is a concern;
- India’s batting depth: Shubman Gill’s 607 runs and Yashasvi Jaiswal’s early-series form make their top order potent;
- Pitch conditions: Old Trafford’s pitch often favors pace early but flattens out, potentially suiting England’s aggressive batting;
- Weather impact: Light rain on Days 1 and 2 could disrupt play, favoring a draw or early bowling dominance;
- Ben Stokes’ all-round impact: His 4-66 at Headingley and three wickets at Lord’s make him a game-changer;
- Jasprit Bumrah’s form: With 46 wickets in nine Tests at an average of 14.91, he’s India’s trump card;
- Liam Dawson’s spin threat: Replacing Shoaib Bashir, his 21 County Championship wickets add variety to England’s attack;
- Rishabh Pant’s fitness: His potential absence as keeper due to a finger injury could disrupt India’s balance.
Free Tips on England vs India
As England and India gear up for their fourth Test clash at Old Trafford on July 23, 2025, smart betting requires a sharp focus on the numbers and trends that define this rivalry. This list of free tips draws from the teams’ past encounters and current form to help you make informed decisions. Here’s how to approach your England vs India betting tips with confidence.
- Study head-to-head trends: England’s 53-36 edge in 139 Tests, including three wins in the last five meetings, suggests a historical advantage, but India’s 336-run rout at Edgbaston shows they can dominate when their bowlers click;
- Evaluate recent team momentum: England’s two wins in this series, including a gritty 22-run victory at Lord’s, give them confidence, while India’s lone win at Edgbaston highlights their potential to bounce back;
- Check player-specific form: Jamie Smith’s 415 runs for England and Shubman Gill’s 607 for India make them key betting targets, but watch for Yashasvi Jaiswal’s potential to rebound after a quiet Lord’s;
- Factor in Old Trafford’s pitch behavior: The venue’s history of favoring first-innings batting (29-17) and deteriorating for spinners later could benefit England’s aggressive top order or India’s spin trio if they bowl second;
- Consider the referee’s influence: Ivan Martincic’s oversight may affect decisions, as Test referees can vary in their handling of reviews or time management, potentially impacting close calls in a tight match.
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England vs India Match Prediction 2025
For the England vs India match prediction, England hold a slight edge at 64% to India’s 36%, thanks to their 2-1 series lead and Old Trafford’s favorable conditions. England’s “Bazball” approach, led by Jamie Smith’s 415 runs and Stokes’ all-round brilliance, thrives at home, where they’ve won six of their last ten Tests against India. Jofra Archer’s pace, averaging a wicket every 31.4 balls, could exploit early seam movement, especially with rain forecast for Days 1 and 2. India, however, are no pushovers. Shubman Gill’s 607 runs, including a 269 at Edgbaston, and Jasprit Bumrah’s world-class bowling keep them in contention. Their Edgbaston rout showed they can dominate, but failing to defend 387 at Lord’s exposed vulnerabilities in high-pressure chases. The England vs India odds reflect England’s home dominance, but India’s opening pair of Jaiswal and Rahul could set a platform if they survive Archer and Chris Woakes. Rain might tilt the game toward a draw, but England’s depth and home record make them favorites to clinch the series.
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | England Win | 1.95 |
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