Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – UFC 09/02/2025

UFC
Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland
Sun, 09 February 2025 – 05:00
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1.52
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50.0
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2.6
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Dricus Du Plessis will defend his middleweight title against Sean Strickland at UFC 312, so generating much awaited rematch on February 9, 2025. The fight will take place in Sydney’s Qudos Bank Arena; the main event should commence about 05:00 GMT. This fight is their second meeting since Du Plessis earlier split decisionly defeated Strickland in January 2024 to take the middleweight belt.

While Strickland seeks atonement and another chance at UFC gold, Du Plessis wants to confirm his rule as champion and so this fight is vital for both combatants. The last fight was fiercely contested; neither boxer could clearly overpower the other. But both rivals have improved recently, hence this rematch is an interesting and unexpected clash.

Betting Tips and Fight Insights

The Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland prediction today suggests a high-stakes battle where both fighters will look to impose their game plan early. Their first fight was a grueling five-round war, but this time, an early finish is a strong possibility.

  • Du Plessis continues to be perfect in the UFC, displaying remarkable knockout force and submit ability.
  • As shown by Strickland’s triumph over Israel Adesanya, Du Plessis may find difficulties from his unorthodox striking and unrelenting pressure.
  • Du Plessis’s cardio was called into doubt in their first fight, hence his conditioning becomes extremely important for their rematch.
  • Strickland’s defensive nature and durability might cause another protracted conflict, but his latest performance suggests he might advocate a more aggressive strategy.
  • Given both fighters’ histories of stoppages in their most recent battles, a finish before the last bell seems most plausible.

Dricus Du Plessis: Recent Fights

Dricus Du Plessis has been on a dominant streak, finishing elite-level opponents and proving himself as one of the top middleweights in the world. Below are his last five fights:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
18.08.24UFCDu Plessis vs AdesanyaSubmission – Round 4W
21.01.24UFCStrickland vs Du PlessisPoints – Round 5W
09.07.23UFCWhittaker vs Du PlessisTechnical KO – Round 2W
05.03.23UFCBrunson vs Du PlessisTechnical KO – Round 2W
11.12.22UFCTill vs Du PlessisSubmission – Round 3W

Du Plessis has displayed finishing ability in four out of his last five fights, either by knockout or submission. His victory over Adesanya further cemented his reputation as a dangerous and well-rounded middleweight.

Sean Strickland: Recent Fights

Sean Strickland has been highly active, securing impressive wins but also suffering setbacks, including his loss to Du Plessis. Below is his fight history over the past two years:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
02.06.24UFCStrickland vs CostaPoints – Round 5W
21.01.24UFCStrickland vs Du PlessisPoints – Round 5L
10.09.23UFCAdesanya vs StricklandPoints – Round 5W
02.07.23UFCStrickland vs MagomedovTechnical KO – Round 2W
15.01.23UFCStrickland vs ImavovPoints – Round 5W

Strickland’s decision win over Adesanya was a career-defining moment, but his loss to Du Plessis showed that he struggles against high-pressure fighters. Despite this, his durability and volume striking make him a dangerous opponent.

Who will win Sunday’s UFC clash between Dricus Du Plessis and Sean Strickland?
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Dricus Du Plessis
60%
Draw
2%
Sean Strickland
38%
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Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland: Head-to-Head Record

Their first encounter was a five-round title fight that saw Du Plessis edge out Strickland via split decision.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
21.01.24UFCStrickland vs Du PlessisPoints – Round 5 (Du Plessis wins)

Their first fight was closely contested, with both fighters having moments of success. However, Du Plessis’ pressure and grappling were key factors in his victory.

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Key Factors to Watch in This Fight

This rematch has several crucial aspects that could determine the outcome:

  • Cardio and endurance – Du Plessis faded in their first fight, while Strickland maintained his volume striking;
  • Finishing ability – Du Plessis has four stoppage wins in his last five fights, while Strickland tends to win via decision;
  • Game plan adjustments – Both fighters will likely come in with new strategies to exploit their opponent’s weaknesses;
  • Strickland’s defense – His high guard and pressure style can be effective, but Du Plessis’ power could break through;
  • Wrestling factor – Du Plessis’ ability to mix in takedowns could neutralize Strickland’s striking;
  • Mental warfare – Strickland is known for his trash talk and psychological tactics; how Du Plessis reacts will be crucial;
  • Referee and stoppages – Early stoppages or referee intervention could play a role in determining the fight’s outcome;
  • Fight-ending scenarios – Both fighters have paths to victory, with Du Plessis being more dangerous inside the distance.

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Free Tips on Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland

Examining the Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland rematch at UFC 312 requires one to go beyond mere fighter records. Knowing their current performance, artistic inclinations, and outside circumstances will help you make better bets. These five free betting hints might help you influence the result of this fight.

  • Dricus Du Plessis is known for his aggressive style and high-pressure approach, which has led to four stoppage victories in his last five fights. Unlike their first fight, where he took a more measured approach, expect him to push forward from the start. Betting on “Fight Not to Go the Distance” could provide value.
  • While Strickland is not a power puncher, his sharp counterstriking and volume-based attack could play a significant role if Du Plessis overcommits. If the champion rushes in recklessly, Strickland has the ability to capitalize on openings. A Strickland by Decision bet could be a solid option for those who believe he can control the fight.
  • Du Plessis trains at high altitude in South Africa, which has given him an endurance advantage in past fights. However, Strickland is one of the most durable middleweights in the UFC, rarely getting finished. This could mean a high-paced first few rounds, but if Strickland survives the early storm, expect him to rally late. Betting on Over 2.5 Rounds could be a smart choice.
  • Strickland has struggled against fighters who utilize effective leg kicks, and Du Plessis has a strong kickboxing background. If Du Plessis targets the legs early, it could limit Strickland’s movement and neutralize his volume striking. Prop bets like Du Plessis to land the most leg kicks or Strickland to be knocked down could offer value.
  • Their first fight was a close split decision, with some analysts believing Strickland did enough to win. This means Strickland’s camp will make key tactical adjustments, possibly increasing his volume and forward pressure earlier in the fight. If you believe Strickland will come in with a better game plan, betting on him to win at plus odds could be a valuable underdog pick.

By keeping these factors in mind, you can make more informed bets on this fight and maximize your chances of picking the right outcome.

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Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland Match Prediction 2025

This rematch is expected to be more intense than their first meeting, with both fighters looking to prove a point. The first fight was closely contested, but Du Plessis’ superior finishing ability and power give him an edge. Strickland’s defense and pressure game could drag the fight into the later rounds, but Du Plessis’ knockout and submission potential make him the more dangerous fighter.

The Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland odds favor a fight ending inside the distance, as both fighters have shown tendencies to push forward aggressively. The safest bet is “Total Under 4.5 rounds,” given the likelihood of an early finish.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
WinnerDricus Du Plessis1.5
Total RoundsUnder 4.5 Rounds2.4

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About the Author

Born in London in 1986, Samuel Gray is a distinguished betting expert with a Master’s in Sports Analysis from the University of Leeds, obtained in 2011. From 2012 to 2019, he worked closely with multiple athletic organizations, specializing in performance metrics across various common sports. Gray has authored 15 academic papers, predominantly on the optimization of training regimes and injury prevention. Transitioning from research in 2020, Gray began a journalism career. He now pens analytical pieces about the nuances of common sports and contributes regularly to several sports-focused platforms, shedding light on contemporary tactics and athlete assessments.

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