Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns (133:111): NBA 26/10/2025

October 26, 2025
Status: Finished
133-111
NBA
Denver Nuggets
Phoenix Suns
match decor

Tip-off is scheduled for 02:00 GMT on 26/10/2025 at Ball Arena (Denver, CO), where the Denver Nuggets host the Phoenix Suns in a regular-season NBA matchup. This early-season clash features a scheduling imbalance: Phoenix is on the second night of a back-to-back, while Denver returns home after an overtime loss at Golden State. Officiating assignments were not available at the time of writing; a whistle-heavy crew would elevate the importance of free throws in crunch time.

Competition: NBA regular season, Round 3. Context matters: Denver looks to secure its first win in front of a loud home crowd at altitude, and Phoenix must manage fatigue and rotation balance after playing Friday. With offensive stars on both sides and Jokic anchoring Denver’s half-court creation, expect sustained interior pressure from the hosts against a Suns defense still seeking stability.

Betting Tips to Frame Your Handicapping

Before diving into recent results and head-to-head data, set expectations for a Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns prediction today. Denver’s home-court (and altitude) has historically lifted efficiency late, especially on second-chance and free-throw sequences. Phoenix’s second leg of a back-to-back can compress rotations and reduce defensive mobility on closeouts. Pace could spike in pockets, but Denver’s half-court quality should dictate late possessions. Keep an eye on early foul patterns on Suns bigs Jokic leverages that into line trips and kick-out threes.

Denver Nuggets Last Five Matches

Denver’s start includes two narrow regular-season defeats, one in overtime, preceded by a strong preseason run. Shot quality has been solid, but late-game defensive lapses proved costly. Returning home should normalize minutes and tighten their half-court defense.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
24/10/2025NBAGolden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets137-131 (120-120)D/L
18/10/2025NBAOklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets94-91L
15/10/2025NBA (PS)Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls124-117W
13/10/2025NBA (PS)Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets94-102W
07/10/2025NBA (PS)Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets108-112W

Denver showed they can generate explosive scoring (131 in OT at GSW) yet must close better against elite shot-makers. Jokic remains a triple-double engine; his gravity created clean threes around Gordon’s career night. Transition defense is the correction point after late collapses. The preseason form three straight wins did carry into offensive rhythm. Back at Ball Arena, expect improved defensive rebounding and a steadier clutch profile.

Phoenix Suns Last Five Matches

The Suns opened with an impressive comeback win over Sacramento before a heavy loss at the Clippers. Depth pieces have flashed, but the road skid stretching back to last season remains a storyline. A back-to-back in Denver tests legs and lineup balance.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
25/10/2025NBALos Angeles Clippers vs Phoenix Suns129-102L
23/10/2025NBAPhoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings120-116W
15/10/2025NBA (PS)Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers113-104W
12/10/2025NBA (PS)Phoenix Suns vs Brooklyn Nets109-111L
10/10/2025NBA (PS)Phoenix Suns vs Brooklyn Nets132-127 (121-121)D/W

Phoenix’s defense allowed 129 at the Clippers, highlighting perimeter containment issues. Offensively, Booker’s on-ball creation remains the compass, but secondary scoring must travel. The Kings win showcased resilience, yet the back-to-back plus altitude is a difficult combo. Bench units need to hold serve when stars sit. If defensive glass control falters, Denver’s extra possessions will stack quickly.

Who will win Sunday’s NBA clash between Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns?
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Denver Nuggets
80%
Draw
5%
Phoenix Suns
15%
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Head-to-Head Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns (Last 5)

These meetings have leaned high-scoring with momentum swings tied to 3-point variance and free throws. Denver has owned the recent regular-season edge, especially at Ball Arena.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
08/03/2025NBADenver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns149-141 (125-125)
09/02/2025NBAPhoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets105-122
26/12/2024NBAPhoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets110-100
24/12/2024NBADenver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns117-90
14/10/2024NBA (PS)Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns114-118

Denver took three of the last four regular-season contests, with two emphatic home wins. Totals trend upward when pace spikes and whistles are frequent. Phoenix’s path generally requires above-average perimeter shooting to offset Denver’s interior edge.

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Likely Starters Basketball Starting Fives (Projected)

These are projected lineups based on current information; roles can shift closer to tip depending on coaching decisions and fitness checks.

Denver Nuggets PlayerPosPhoenix Suns PlayerPos
C. JohnsonSFDevin BookerPG
Aaron GordonPFBradley BealSG
Nikola JokicCKevin DurantSF
Christian BraunSGBol BolPF/C
Jamal MurrayPGNick RichardsC

Unavailable Players Status Report

Below is a concise availability snapshot to understand rotation pressure points and potential minute bumps.

TeamPlayerStatus / InjuryExpected Impact
SunsJalen GreenOut hamstringReduces downhill burst in the backcourt; more on-ball reps for Booker/Beal.

Early-season volatility is high, so lean on repeatable advantages rather than one-off outliers. Denver’s interior creation and altitude boost are tangible; Phoenix’s second night of a back-to-back introduces fatigue and rotation stress. Execution at the line and on the glass often separates these clubs late.

  • Denver return home after two tight results; offensive process looks sustainable;
  • Suns are on a back-to-back and extend a multi-game road skid from last season;
  • Jokic vs. Suns’ interior: foul management and defensive rebounding will be decisive;
  • Gordon’s perimeter confidence stretches the floor for Denver’s cutters;
  • Booker remains Phoenix’s primary engine; secondary spacing must travel;
  • Suns’ recent road margins trend double-digit losses late legs show up on defense first;
  • Free throws and second-chance points have favored Denver at Ball Arena;
  • Coaching tilt: Denver’s half-court sets generate consistent shot quality late.

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Free Tips on Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Use the pointers below to refine pre-game positions or set live-bet triggers. They translate core handicapping principles tempo, rotations, and matchups into actionable angles without duplicating the checklist above:

  • Tempo Filter: If the first two minutes show extended possessions and half-court sets, totals may settle lower than pre-game sentiment consider patience on live Overs until pace climbs;
  • Starting Five Leverage: Should Phoenix tweak the starting unit on a back-to-back, downgrade their early defensive ceiling; Denver first-quarter markets gain appeal;
  • Matchup Exploit: If Suns centers accumulate early fouls on Jokic, expect Denver to spike free throws and paint touches lean Nuggets team totals;
  • Altitude + Home Edge: Ball Arena fatigue compounds in Q4; look at Denver 2H or 4Q angles in tight games;
  • Bench Stability: If Denver’s bench holds the glass in non-Jokic minutes, consider adding to Nuggets ML live rather than chasing spread escalations.
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Match Prediction 2025 Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

The Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns odds point toward the hosts, and the matchup logic backs it up. Denver’s half-court reliability around Jokic, plus Gordon’s renewed shooting gravity, creates persistent interior and short-mid opportunities even if the three-ball cools. Phoenix’s second leg of a back-to-back at altitude is a harsh scheduling spot; defensive closeouts and box-outs typically degrade first, which is poor news against Denver’s cutting game and offensive rebounding. While Booker can swing quarters with pull-up shot-making, the Suns need pristine transition defense and above-expectation perimeter accuracy to keep pace late. Recent head-to-heads in Denver have been decisive, and the Nuggets’ late-game offensive organization should translate into a free-throw edge and controlled tempo in the final five minutes. Barring an outlier Suns shooting performance, Denver should close with a multi-possession margin.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
MoneylineNuggets to Win1.13
TotalOver 232.51.80

You can place your bet on the match Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns at bc.game. Lock your position pre-game or watch the opening tempo and add live if the script favors Denver’s interior edge. Always wager responsibly.

About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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