Czech Republic vs Latvia (75:109): EuroBasket 03/09/2025

September 03, 2025
Status: Finished
75-109
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
Latvia
match decor

Get ready for a EuroBasket clash that’s more about pride than standings, as the Czech Republic takes on Latvia in a game that could still spark some fireworks. This matchup, set for 15:00 GMT+0 on September 3, 2025, at Xiaomi Arena in Riga, marks the final group stage game for both teams in EuroBasket’s Round 5. No referee details are available, but the stage is set for Latvia, a co-host, to leverage their home crowd against a Czech squad that’s already out of contention.

The Czech Republic has struggled mightily without stars like Jan Vesely and Tomas Satoransky, looking lost against even lower-tier teams like Portugal and Estonia. Latvia, despite high hopes after a strong World Cup showing, has stumbled against top teams like Serbia and Turkey, and injuries to key players like Arturs Zagars could further dim their shine. Let’s dive into the form, history, and key factors that’ll shape this Czech Republic vs Latvia prediction 2025.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To nail your Czech Republic vs Latvia betting tips, you need to know where both teams stand coming into this game. Recent performances and head-to-head clashes offer a window into what might unfold, especially with no stakes for advancement. The Czech Republic vs Latvia prediction today hinges on how each team manages their rotations, given the lack of pressure. Latvia’s home advantage and deeper roster could play a big role, but the Czechs might still scrap for a moral victory. Let’s break down their recent games and past meetings to set the stage.

Czech Republic Results

The Czech Republic has hit a rough patch, limping into this game with no wins in the EuroBasket group stage. Injuries to key veterans have left them exposed, and even younger players like Vit Krejci haven’t filled the gap. Their recent games paint a grim picture of a team struggling to compete.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01/09/2025EBSerbia vs Czech Republic82-60L
30/08/2025EBCzech Republic vs Estonia75-89L
29/08/2025EBTurkey vs Czech Republic92-78L
27/08/2025EBCzech Republic vs Portugal50-62L
21/08/2025FICzech Republic vs Georgia100-87W

The Czech Republic’s four straight EuroBasket losses highlight their offensive and defensive woes, with no game closer than 12 points. Their lone win against Georgia in a friendly doesn’t inspire much confidence, given Georgia’s similar struggles. Poor shooting and turnovers have plagued them, especially against stronger defenses. Without Satoransky or Vesely, their offense lacks a focal point. Expect them to lean on bench players in this meaningless game, which could lead to even less cohesion.

Latvia Results

Latvia, playing on home soil, came into EuroBasket with big dreams but has fallen short against elite competition. Their two group stage wins show they can handle lesser teams, but injuries and inconsistent play have tempered expectations. Still, their depth gives them an edge in this matchup.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01/09/2025EBPortugal vs Latvia62-78W
30/08/2025EBLatvia vs Serbia80-84L
29/08/2025EBEstonia vs Latvia70-72W
27/08/2025EBLatvia vs Turkey73-93L
21/08/2025FIItaly vs Latvia68-83W

Latvia’s wins over Portugal and Estonia show they can dominate weaker sides, but losses to Serbia and Turkey expose their struggles against top defenses. Their offense, usually a strength, has been inconsistent, with Kristaps Porzingis misfiring from deep until recently. The home crowd could lift them, but injuries might force unconventional lineups. Their ability to control tempo gives them an advantage. However, a lack of urgency could lead to sloppy play.

Who will win Wednesday’s EuroBasket clash between Czech Republic and Latvia?
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Czech Republic
7%
Draw
0%
Latvia
93%
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Czech Republic vs Latvia Head-to-Head Results

Past clashes between these two teams offer insight into their rivalry, with Latvia holding a slight edge. The history shows competitive games, but Latvia’s recent dominance stands out. Let’s look at their last five encounters.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
24/08/2017FILatvia vs Czech Republic103-69
05/07/2016OGLatvia vs Czech Republic71-59
18/09/2015EBLatvia vs Czech Republic70-97
07/09/2015EBCzech Republic vs Latvia65-72
09/09/2013EBCzech Republic vs Latvia60-81

Latvia’s won four of the last five, often by comfortable margins, except for the Czechs’ outlier 2015 win. The 2017 blowout (103-69) shows Latvia’s potential to overwhelm when clicking. Recent games suggest Latvia’s faster pace and better shooting typically outmatch the Czechs’ grit.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for Czech Republic vs Latvia Basketball Match

With the Czech Republic vs Latvia EuroBasket matchup on September 3, 2025, carrying no weight for tournament standings, both coaches are likely to experiment with their lineups, giving bench players a chance to shine. The Czech Republic, already eliminated, may lean on younger talent to gain experience, while Latvia, locked into third place, could rest key starters to preserve energy for the Round of 16. Below are the predicted starting lineups for this game, reflecting potential rotations based on recent performances and injury reports.

Czech Republic PlayerPositionLatvia PlayerPosition
KrejciPGStrautinsPG
HrubanSGTimmaSG
Satoransky Jr.SFBertansSF
PeterkaPFPorzingisPF
BalvinCSmitsC

Key Factors to Watch

To make a smart Czech Republic vs Latvia match prediction, you’ve got to zero in on what’s driving each team’s performance. Injuries, form, and recent trends will shape this game more than the standings. Here’s what to keep an eye on.

  • Czech Republic’s missing stars, Jan Vesely and Tomas Satoransky, leave them without leadership or scoring punch;
  • Vit Krejci’s underwhelming play has failed to spark the Czech offense, averaging under 10 points per game;
  • Czech Republic’s four-game losing streak in EuroBasket shows they struggle against any level of competition;
  • Latvia’s home advantage at Xiaomi Arena could boost their energy, especially from the crowd;
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ poor three-point shooting (1/15 until the Portugal game) raises concerns about his form;
  • Arturs Zagars’ questionable status due to injury could disrupt Latvia’s offensive flow;
  • Latvia’s two group stage wins highlight their ability to handle weaker teams like the Czech Republic;
  • Both teams may experiment with bench-heavy lineups, given the game’s lack of stakes.

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Free Tips on Czech Republic vs Latvia

To make a smart bet on the Czech Republic vs Latvia matchup, you need to dig into the details that could tilt the game. This section offers practical tips, drawn from stats and trends, to help you spot value in your wagers. Here’s what to focus on for this EuroBasket clash on September 3, 2025.

  • Check Recent Scoring Trends: Look at how both teams have performed offensively in their last five games, as Latvia’s 78-point average against weaker teams like Portugal suggests they could exploit the Czechs’ shaky defense, while the Czech Republic’s 71-point average hints at a low output;
  • Evaluate Bench Impact: With both teams likely to give bench players more minutes due to the game’s lack of stakes, check which reserves have been productive in limited roles, as Latvia’s deeper roster could make a difference;
  • Consider Home Crowd Boost: Latvia’s home advantage at Xiaomi Arena, with a passionate Riga crowd, often lifts their intensity, especially compared to the Czechs’ road struggles;
  • Factor in Game Pace: Latvia’s faster tempo (top-10 in possessions per game) could lead to more shot attempts, but the Czechs’ slow, grinding style might keep the score under the projected total;
  • Assess Referee Tendencies: If data on the referee is available, note their history with foul calls, as a whistle-heavy official could lead to more free throws, favoring Latvia’s aggressive drives.
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Czech Republic vs Latvia Prediction 2025

For the Czech Republic vs Latvia prediction 2025, Latvia looks like the clear favorite, even with their inconsistencies. The Czech Republic’s dismal form, with no EuroBasket wins and a depleted roster, makes it hard to see them keeping this close. Latvia, despite their own struggles against top teams, has shown they can handle sides like Portugal and Estonia, which are comparable to the Czechs in quality. Playing at home in Riga, they’ll likely feed off the crowd’s energy, even if they rest starters. Porzingis, while not at his best, remains a matchup nightmare for the Czechs’ thin frontcourt. The Czech Republic vs Latvia odds reflect this, with Latvia heavily favored to win, though the spread could be generous given the lack of stakes. Expect Latvia to control the pace and lean on their depth to pull away, especially if Zagars plays. The under on total points makes sense, as both teams might lack offensive rhythm with experimental lineups. I’m calling a Latvia win, 78-62, with a low-scoring, scrappy game.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultLatvia Win1.02

Ready to place your bet? Bet on match – Czech Republic vs Latvia you can make at bc.game. With Latvia’s home edge and the Czechs’ struggles, this could be a solid chance to back a straightforward win or a low-scoring game.

About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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