Coco Gauff vs. Marta Kostyuk (0:2): WTA Doha 11/02/2025

February 11, 2025
Status: Finished
0-2
WTA Doha
Coco Gauff
Marta Kostyuk
match decor

Tuesday, February 11, 2025 will see Coco Gauff square Marta Kostyuk in the most awaited Round of 32 encounter at the WTA 500 Qatar Open. The hard-court contest noted for its tough field and erratic results will take place at the Khalifa International Tennis & Squash Complex in Doha, Qatar. Both athletes will be trying to land a berth in the following round; Gauff is trying atonement for her early Doha departure last year.

The huge stakes of the competition mean that the match should be attentively watched even if the official chair umpire is still unknown. Ranked third in the tournament, Gauff will try to use her strong baseline game; Kostyuk wants to break her early departure trend at this point of WTA competitions. This game is looking to be a fascinating struggle even if both players are in good condition yet displaying discrepancies.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

The Coco Gauff v. Marta Kostyuk prediction today offers an intriguing conundrum for tennis enthusiasts and bettors. Grand Slam winner Gauff arrives to this match with greater experience at the top level, but her inconsistent serve this season raises questions. Kostyuk has been having trouble making long runs in competitions and has usually left early rounds.

Although Kostyuk’s conversion of break points has been excellent, her high double fault count might be a drawback against a player of Gauff’s level. Though she still needs to work on her serving efficiency, the American has been good on hard courts in recent months. Who manages the baseline rallies and handles pressure situations better might define this match.

Coco Gauff’s Recent Matches

In her most recent games, Gauff has shown a mixed bag of dominance and inconsistency. She battled unforced mistakes and serving problems in her defeat to Badosa even as she advanced to the quarterfinals of the Australian Open. Here is her latest five match breakdown:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
21.01.25Australian OpenGauff vs. Badosa0-2L
19.01.25Australian OpenGauff vs. Bencic2-1W
17.01.25Australian OpenGauff vs. Fernandez2-0W
15.01.25Australian OpenGauff vs. Burrage2-0W
13.01.25Australian OpenGauff vs. Kenin2-0W

Gauff has performed well against lower-ranked opponents but faltered against stronger competition like Badosa. Despite her strong first-serve percentage (74.8%), her 58 double faults this season indicate inconsistency in key moments. However, she remains a formidable hard-court player, winning 80% of her service games in 2025.

Marta Kostyuk’s Recent Matches

Kostyuk has had mixed results in 2025, showing flashes of strong play but failing to progress deep in tournaments. She has struggled at this stage of events, having been eliminated in the round of 32 in her last three tournaments. Below is her recent match history:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
09.02.25Doha OpenKostyuk vs. Sonmez2-0W
17.01.25Australian OpenKostyuk vs. Badosa1-2L
15.01.25Australian OpenKostyuk vs. Niemeier2-0W
13.01.25Australian OpenKostyuk vs. Hibino2-1W
07.01.25Adelaide OpenKostyuk vs. Krueger1-2L

Kostyuk has shown a solid ability to break serve but has struggled with consistency. Her 48 double faults this season, combined with a first-serve percentage of 58.9%, highlight her serving issues. She has saved 65.5% of break points this season, which could be crucial against Gauff. However, her tendency to exit early in tournaments is a concern.

Who will win Tuesday’s WTA Doha clash between Coco Gauff and Marta Kostyuk?
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Coco Gauff
90%
Draw
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Marta Kostyuk
10%
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Coco Gauff vs. Marta Kostyuk Head-to-Head Matches

These two players have met four times previously, with Gauff leading the head-to-head 3-1. Their encounters have been competitive, often going beyond straight sets.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
10.10.24Wuhan OpenGauff vs. Kostyuk2-0
19.04.24Stuttgart OpenKostyuk vs. Gauff2-1
23.01.24Australian OpenKostyuk vs. Gauff1-2
12.01.22Adelaide OpenKostyuk vs. Gauff1-2

Gauff has dominated this matchup in recent years, winning three of their last four meetings. Their matches have often been closely contested, but Gauff has consistently found ways to come out on top.

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Key Factors to Consider

Several key aspects will influence the outcome of this match.

  • Gauff’s serve inconsistency – 58 double faults in 2025;
  • Kostyuk’s weak first-serve percentage (58.9%) – may struggle under pressure;
  • Gauff’s ability to hold serve – winning 80% of her service games;
  • Kostyuk’s break-point conversion rate (50%) – a potential advantage if Gauff struggles;
  • Gauff’s strong hard-court record – including her WTA Finals victory in 2024;
  • Kostyuk’s struggles in the round of 32 – three consecutive eliminations at this stage;
  • Gauff’s recent losses in key moments – including the Australian Open quarterfinals;
  • Head-to-head record – Gauff leads 3-1, showing dominance in previous encounters.

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Free Tips on Coco Gauff vs. Marta Kostyuk

When placing a bet on the Coco Gauff vs. Marta Kostyuk match, it’s crucial to consider multiple external and statistical factors beyond just rankings and form. Some elements, such as player motivation, recent workload, head-to-head dynamics, and playing conditions, can significantly impact the outcome. Here are some key insights to help you make an informed betting decision:

  • Tournament Motivation & Pressure: Gauff enters as a top contender, while Kostyuk is looking to break her streak of early tournament exits. High-pressure situations can lead to inconsistency, affecting unforced errors and double faults.
  • Recent Schedule & Fatigue Factor: Gauff had a demanding Australian Open campaign, playing several long matches before exiting in the quarterfinals. Kostyuk has had fewer high-intensity matches, which could give her a physical edge if the match goes to three sets.
  • Hard Court Adaptability: Gauff has been significantly more dominant on hard courts, winning major tournaments like the WTA Finals in Riyadh. Kostyuk has struggled to advance beyond the round of 32 in recent WTA events, which raises concerns about her ability to handle top-tier opponents on this surface.
  • Break Point Efficiency & Pressure Play: Kostyuk has converted 50% of her break points in 2025, showing her ability to capitalize on opponents’ mistakes. Gauff, despite serving inconsistencies, has held 80% of her service games, making it difficult for Kostyuk to secure breaks.
  • Head-to-Head Trends & Psychological Edge: Gauff leads the head-to-head 3-1, with two of her wins coming on hard courts. Previous matchups suggest that Gauff has the confidence and experience to dictate the pace of the match.
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Coco Gauff vs. Marta Kostyuk Match Prediction

In this Coco Gauff vs. Marta Kostyuk odds analysis, Gauff enters as the favorite due to her superior head-to-head record and overall consistency on hard courts. However, her high double fault count could provide opportunities for Kostyuk to break serve. If Kostyuk can improve her first-serve percentage, she may challenge Gauff, but her history of early exits at this stage suggests she might struggle under pressure.

Gauff’s strong return game and ability to grind out matches make her the safer pick. Expect a straight-sets win for Gauff, but Kostyuk may keep it competitive in at least one set.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match WinnerGauff to win1.17

Place your bet on the match – Coco Gauff vs. Marta Kostyuk at bc.game! Enjoy competitive odds and exciting live betting options on this and other WTA matches.

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About the Author

Born in Perth in 1987, Edward Collins, a recognized betting expert, achieved a Master’s in Sport Biomechanics from the University of Sydney in 2013. From 2014 to 2021, he collaborated with Australia’s tennis coaching associations, specializing in serve mechanics and court movement analysis. Collins has been credited with 13 academic papers, focusing primarily on player stamina and racquet technology. In 2022, he shifted gears to journalism. Currently, Collins dedicates himself to crafting analytical articles on tennis, offering insights into match strategies and player development, and regularly contributes his expertise to various sports media outlets.

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